What is the probability Zohran Mamdani says “Healthcare” next time?

22%, from settlement history (n=4). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.

Who has to say it for the market to count?

Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Will Zohran Mamdani say “Healthcare”?

Name: Zohran Mamdani: “Healthcare” mention history
Creator: parrot.markets
License: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/

As of Oct 25, 2026, Zohran Mamdani did not say “Healthcare” at any of the 4 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Apr 1, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 22% (n=4, from settlement history), not a forecast.

Of the last 8 transcripts we have, of any kind (6 remarks, 1 press conference, 1 interview; Oct 8, 2026 – Oct 23, 2026), since fewer than 2 episodes have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 1.

22%from settlement history only · n=4counts: named speaker only

Last 10: 0/4Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no no
Streak: not said the last 4 times
Counts: named speaker only

Updated Oct 25, 2026, 23:21 UTC

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Zohran Mamdani

Healthcare

Probability: 22% · n=4
Settled: 0/4 (0%)
Last 8 transcripts: said in 1 of 8

Next listing counts: named speaker only

Latest quotes

from the latest transcripts we have (6 remarks, 1 press conference, 1 interview); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.

Deputy Mayor FrancoisotherMayor Mamdani Expands Community-Based Violence Prevention to Bushwick, Harlem, and Washington Heights/Inwood · Oct 20, 2026In transcript

…work to prevent retaliation. And they connect residents to jobs, education, mental health care, legal assistance and other resources that can help them move forward.

Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.

Zohran MamdanispeakerMayor Mamdani Announces New NYU Quantum Fabrication Facility, First-of-Its-Kind Partnership To Give City a Stake in Emerging Industry · Oct 14, 2026In transcript

…concerns about what HR 1 was going to do with regards to health care access across the state, Bruce Blakeman went on TV and said…