Prime Minister's Questions, Aug 26, 2026
Polymarket What will Andy Burnham say at the next Prime Minister's Questions event?
Markets
14 words · 6 settled yes- Polymarket: named speaker only Polymarket
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Police | Yes | 56%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Ukraine | Yes | 45%n=28 from settlement history | – |
| King | Yes | 45%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| London | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Speaker 10+ times | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| NATO | Yes | 42%n=17 from settlement history | – |
| Iran / Iranian | No | 43%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| NHS 3+ times | No | 43%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Nuclear | No | 43%n=9 from settlement history | – |
| Starmer | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Immigrant / Immigration | No | 33%n=21 from settlement history | – |
| Oil / Gas / Gasoline | No | 28%n=6 from settlement history | – |
| Muslim | No | 27%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Trump | No | 24%n=39 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:22 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=p%3Awhat-will-andy-burnham-say-at-the-next-prime-ministers-questions-event · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP