Donald Trump: Remarks, Feb 11, 2026
Polymarket What will Trump say during Netanyahu meeting on February 11?
Markets
24 words · 0 settled yes- Polymarket: named speaker only Polymarket
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| NATO | No | 47%n=46 from settlement history | – |
| Middle East | No | 46%n=27 from settlement history | – |
| Palestine / Palestinian | No | 44%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Witkoff / Kushner | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Iran 7+ times | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Gaza 5+ times | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| General / Bondi | No | 43%n=10 from settlement history | – |
| Venezuela | No | 42%n=13 from settlement history | – |
| Thousand / Million / Billion 8+ times | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| VoterID / Voter ID | No | 39%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| B2 / F35 | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| First Term | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Israel 13+ times | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Nothing 2+ times | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Peace 8+ times | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Think about | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Obliterated / Obliteration | No | 39%n=7 from settlement history | – |
| Joe / Biden 3+ times | No | 38%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Armada | No | 37%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Goy / Goyim | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Hell | No | 34%n=26 from settlement history | – |
| Nuclear 5+ times | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Accords | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Crypto / Bitcoin | No | 5%n=267 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:22 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
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