Donald Trump: Monthly window, Sep 30, 2025
Polymarket What will Trump say in September?
Coverage
0 known appearancesno known appearances yet Window: Sep 1, 2025 to Sep 30, 2025. Counts: spoken only (posts do not count). 0 own posts by @realDonaldTrump.
Markets
13 words · 8 settled yes- Polymarket: named speaker only Polymarket
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
Counts marked ≥ are lower bounds: not every appearance in this window is transcribed yet, so a word may have been said more often.
| Word | Result | Our count | All speakers | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bin Laden | Yes | – | 0 | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Cuba / Portugal / Uganda | Yes | – | 0 | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Nobel Peace Prize | Yes | – | 0 | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Sprinkler | Yes | – | 0 | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Jesus | Yes | – | 0 | 48%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Palestine | Yes | – | 0 | 46%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Steroid | Yes | – | 0 | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Trump Derangement Syndrome | Yes | – | 0 | 40%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Pizza | No | – | 0 | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Hitler | No | – | 0 | 48%n=7 from settlement history | – |
| Bitcoin | No | – | 0 | 46%n=8 from settlement history | – |
| Taylor Swift | No | – | 0 | 43%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Fuck | No | – | 0 | 37%n=2 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:22 UTC.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=p%3Awhat-will-trump-say-in-september · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP