Will Donald Trump say “Bibi”?
As of Oct 23, 2026, Donald Trump said “Bibi” at 6 of 10 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Sep 29, 2025 (60%), most recently on Dec 29, 2025. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 42% (n=10, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 transcripts we have, of any kind (3 rallies, 3 remarks, 2 speeches; Sep 22, 2026 – Oct 23, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 0.
- Last 10
- 6/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes no no yes yes yes no no
- Streak
- not said the last 2 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
- Market
- 68¢ Kalshi (may be delayed)
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Bibi
- Probability
- 42% · n=10
- Settled
- 6/10 (60%)
- Last 8 transcripts
- said in 0 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Every settled listing
newest first · 10 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 12, 2026 | Bibi |  Kalshi | No | – |
| Jan 22, 2026 | Bibi |  Polymarket | No | – |
| Jan 4, 2026 | Bibi | Polymarket | Yes | – (settled yes · nothing to count yet (no known appearances yet)) |
| Dec 17, 2025 | Bibi | Kalshi | Yes | – |
| Dec 16, 2025 | Bibi | Polymarket | Yes | – |
| Nov 10, 2025 | Bibi | Polymarket | No | – |
| Oct 13, 2025 | Bibi | Polymarket | No | – |
| Sep 29, 2025 | Bibi | Polymarket | Yes | – |
| Sep 29, 2025 | Bibi | Kalshi | Yes | – |
| Sep 29, 2025 | Bibi | Kalshi | Yes | – |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Bibi”?
- As of Oct 23, 2026, Donald Trump said “Bibi” at 6 of 10 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Sep 29, 2025 (60%), most recently on Dec 29, 2025.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Bibi” next time?
- 42%, from settlement history (n=10). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Bibi’ mention history”, as of Oct 23, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/bibi (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=bibi · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP