Donald Trump: Remarks, Nov 10, 2025

Mon, Nov 10RemarksHistory onlyDonald Trump

Updated

Markets

20 words · 0 settled yes

backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.

Listed words: result, and the probability (a walk-forward backtest on settled rows)
WordResultProbabilityMarket
Eight wars No69%n=5 from settlement history–
Hottest No63%n=56 from settlement history–
Nuclear No60%n=56 from settlement history–
Bibi No52%n=4 from settlement history–
Million / Billion / Trillion 12+ timesNo49%n=4 from settlement history–
Erdogan No48%n=3 from settlement history–
Ukraine / Russia 5+ timesNo48%n=4 from settlement history–
Crown No47%n=2 from settlement history–
Obliterated / Obliteration / Obliterating No–n=1 too little history for a probability–
Abraham Accords No–n=1 too little history for a probability–
ISIS No–new new word, no probability yet–
Israel / Gaza 6+ timesNo–new new word, no probability yet–
Please 7+ timesNo–new new word, no probability yet–
Sanction 2+ timesNo–new new word, no probability yet–
Syria / Syrian 10+ timesNo–new new word, no probability yet–
Handsome / Attractive No–n=1 too little history for a probability–
Biden 4+ timesNo39%n=3 from settlement history–
Dancing No–n=1 too little history for a probability–
Hezbollah No30%n=6 from settlement history–
Crypto / Bitcoin No7%n=171 from settlement history–

Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:22 UTC.

Transcript

No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=p%3Awhat-will-trump-say-during-syria-president-events-on-november-10 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP