Will Pete Hegseth say “Fake News”?

As of Oct 24, 2026, Pete Hegseth said “Fake News” at 3 of 15 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Dec 6, 2024 (20%), most recently on Apr 16, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 27% (n=15, from settlement history), not a forecast.

27%from settlement history only · n=15counts: named speaker only
Last 10
2/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no no no yes no no no no no
Streak
not said the last 5 times
Counts
named speaker only
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GET /api/v1/word?entity=pete-hegseth&word=fake%20new

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Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Pete Hegseth

Fake News

Probability
27% · n=15
Settled
3/15 (20%)

Next listing counts: named speaker only

We don’t have transcripts for Pete Hegseth yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.

What will Pete Hegseth say during 60 Minutes? · not listed

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What will Pete Hegseth say during the President's Funding Request request? · not listed

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What will Pete Hegseth say during Face the Nation? · settled no

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What will Pete Hegseth say during his IISS Shangri-La Dialogue address? · not listed

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What will Pete Hegseth say during the Budget Hearing on Department of Defense? · settled no

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What will Pete Hegseth say during his Press Briefing? · settled no

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What will Pete Hegseth say during the Department of Defense budget hearing? · settled no

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What will Pete Hegseth say during the Pentagon Press Briefing? · settled no

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What will Pete Hegseth say during the Pentagon Press Briefing? · settled yes

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What will Pete Hegseth say during the Iran Press Briefing? · settled no

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Every settled listing

newest first · 16 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResult
Jun 14, 2026Fake NewsKalshiNo
May 12, 2026Fake NewsKalshiNo
May 5, 2026Fake NewsKalshiNo
Apr 29, 2026Fake NewsKalshiNo
Apr 24, 2026Fake NewsKalshiNo
Apr 16, 2026Fake NewsKalshiYes
Apr 8, 2026Fake NewsKalshiNo
Apr 7, 2026Fake NewsKalshiVoid (did not qualify)
Mar 31, 2026Fake NewsKalshiNo
Mar 19, 2026Fake NewsKalshiNo
Mar 13, 2026Fake NewsKalshiYes
Mar 10, 2026Fake NewsKalshiNo
Mar 9, 2026Fake NewsKalshiNo
Mar 6, 2026Fake NewsKalshiNo
Mar 5, 2026Fake NewsKalshiYes
Dec 6, 2024Fake newsPolymarketNo

Questions

How often does Pete Hegseth say “Fake News”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Pete Hegseth said “Fake News” at 3 of 15 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Dec 6, 2024 (20%), most recently on Apr 16, 2026.
What is the probability Pete Hegseth says “Fake News” next time?
27%, from settlement history (n=15). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Pete Hegseth: ‘Fake News’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/pete-hegseth/words/fake-new (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=pete-hegseth&word=fake%20new · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=pete-hegseth&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP