Pete Hegseth: Interview, Dec 6, 2024
Polymarket What will Hegseth say during Fox interview?
Markets
15 words · 0 settled yes- Polymarket: named speaker only Polymarket
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Affair | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Alcohol | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Assault | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Crypto/Bitcoin | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Divorce | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Drunk | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Fake news | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Lie | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Racist/Racism | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Sex | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Trump 10+ times | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Trump 5+ times | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Ukraine | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Witch hunt | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Woman/Women 5+ times | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:22 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
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