Will Melania Trump say “Children”?
As of Oct 25, 2026, Melania Trump said “Children” at 7 of 7 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Oct 11, 2025 (100%), most recently on Aug 20, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 67% (n=7, from settlement history), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 7/7Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes yes yes yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 7 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Melania Trump
Children
- Probability
- 67% · n=7
- Settled
- 7/7 (100%)
Next listing counts: named speaker only
We don’t have transcripts for Melania Trump yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.
Every settled listing
newest first · 7 shown
KalshiQuestions
- How often does Melania Trump say “Children”?
- As of Oct 25, 2026, Melania Trump said “Children” at 7 of 7 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Oct 11, 2025 (100%), most recently on Aug 20, 2026.
- What is the probability Melania Trump says “Children” next time?
- 67%, from settlement history (n=7). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Melania Trump: ‘Children’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/melania-trump/words/children (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=melania-trump&word=children · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=melania-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP