Melania Trump: Remarks, Nov 14, 2025
Kalshi What will Melania say during the Executive Order signing?
Markets
14 words · 4 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Children | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| College / University | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Homeless | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Donald | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Ballroom | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Fund / Funding | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Investment | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Peace | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Thanksgiving | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Welfare | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Barron | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Christmas | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Education | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Mother | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXMELANIAMENTION-25NOV14 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP