Melania Trump: Interview, Sep 23, 2026
Kalshi What will Melania say during Fox & Friends?
Markets
16 words · 5 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Film / Filmed / Filming | Yes | 52%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Education | Yes | 49%n=8 from settlement history | – |
| Economy / Economic | Yes | 43%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Safe / Safer / Safety | Yes | 39%n=10 from settlement history | – |
| Foster / Fostering 3+ times | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| White House | No | 53%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | No | 53%n=14 from settlement history | – |
| Amazon | No | 37%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| No | –new new word, no probability yet | – | |
| Be Best | No | 34%n=9 from settlement history | – |
| Scholarship | No | 31%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Take It Down | No | 30%n=8 from settlement history | – |
| Peace / Peaceful | No | 26%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Barron | No | 24%n=10 from settlement history | – |
| Robot / Robotic / Robotics | No | 18%n=7 from settlement history | – |
| Donald | No | 17%n=17 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXMELANIAMENTION-26SEP23 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP