Melania Trump: Remarks, Jun 9, 2026
Kalshi What will Melania say during the AI Challenge Awards Ceremony?
Markets
11 words · 2 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| School | Yes | 36%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Safe / Safer / Safety | Yes | 31%n=6 from settlement history | – |
| Be Best | No | 38%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Foster / Fostering | No | 36%n=6 from settlement history | – |
| Take it Down | No | 35%n=6 from settlement history | – |
| Peace | No | 31%n=7 from settlement history | – |
| Donald | No | 25%n=12 from settlement history | – |
| Security / Cybersecurity | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Epstein | No | 20%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| ChatGPT / OpenAI | No | 15%n=6 from settlement history | – |
| Robot / Robotic / Robotics | No | 14%n=5 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXMELANIAMENTION-26JUN09 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP