Melania Trump: Remarks, Sep 22, 2026
Kalshi What will Melania say during her Fostering the Future announcement?
Markets
12 words · 3 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | Yes | 52%n=13 from settlement history | – |
| Education | Yes | 41%n=7 from settlement history | – |
| Foster / Fostering 5+ times | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Economy / Economic | No | 48%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Safe / Safer / Safety | No | 43%n=9 from settlement history | – |
| Be Best | No | 39%n=8 from settlement history | – |
| Scholarship | No | 36%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| NVIDIA | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Take It Down | No | 32%n=7 from settlement history | – |
| Peace / Peaceful | No | 28%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Donald | No | 19%n=16 from settlement history | – |
| Robot / Robotic / Robotics | No | 17%n=6 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXMELANIAMENTION-26SEP22 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP