Melania Trump: Remarks, Oct 11, 2025
Kalshi What will Melania say during the Announcement?
Markets
16 words · 2 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Children | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Future | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Amazon | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Barron | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Blockchain | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Ceasefire / Cease Fire | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Christmas | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Documentary | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Donald | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Education | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Mother | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Nobel Peace Prize | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Robot / Robotic | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Shutdown / Shut Down | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Technology | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXMELANIAMENTION-25OCT11 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP