Melania Trump: Remarks, Oct 19, 2026
Kalshi What will Melania say during her announcement?
Markets
13 words · 5 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Education | Yes | 51%n=9 from settlement history | – |
| Safe / Safer / Safety | Yes | 42%n=11 from settlement history | – |
| Super Intelligence | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Be Best | Yes | 32%n=10 from settlement history | – |
| Donald | Yes | 17%n=18 from settlement history | – |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | No | 53%n=15 from settlement history | – |
| Foster / Fostering | No | 48%n=9 from settlement history | – |
| Economy / Economic | No | 44%n=6 from settlement history | – |
| Housing / Homeless | No | 35%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Google / Amazon | No | 29%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Scholarship | No | 27%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Take It Down | No | 26%n=9 from settlement history | – |
| Peace / Peaceful | No | 22%n=6 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXMELANIAMENTION-26OCT19 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP