Melania Trump: Keynote, Jun 11, 2026
Kalshi What will Melania say during her Fostering the Future Accounts announcement?
Markets
11 words · 2 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Education / College | Yes | 45%n=6 from settlement history | – |
| Bessent | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | No | 51%n=10 from settlement history | – |
| School | No | 46%n=6 from settlement history | – |
| America First | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Dell | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Stock Market | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Crypto / Cryptocurrency / Bitcoin | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Peace | No | 29%n=8 from settlement history | – |
| Epstein | No | 24%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Donald | No | 22%n=13 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXMELANIAMENTION-26JUN11 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP