Will Kathy Hochul say “Republican”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Kathy Hochul said “Republican” at 2 of 10 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Jan 13, 2026 (20%), most recently on Mar 23, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 27% (n=10, from settlement history), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 2/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no no yes no no no no no no
- Streak
- not said the last 6 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Kathy Hochul
Republican
- Probability
- 27% · n=10
- Settled
- 2/10 (20%)
Next listing counts: named speaker only
We don’t have transcripts for Kathy Hochul yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.
Every settled listing
newest first · 10 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 9, 2026 | Republican |  Kalshi | No |
| Apr 8, 2026 | Republican | Kalshi | No |
| Apr 6, 2026 | Republican | Kalshi | No |
| Apr 2, 2026 | Republican | Kalshi | No |
| Mar 25, 2026 | Republican | Kalshi | No |
| Mar 24, 2026 | Republican | Kalshi | No |
| Mar 23, 2026 | Republican | Kalshi | Yes |
| Feb 18, 2026 | Republican | Kalshi | No |
| Feb 17, 2026 | Republican | Kalshi | No |
| Jan 13, 2026 | Republican |  Polymarket | Yes |
Questions
- How often does Kathy Hochul say “Republican”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Kathy Hochul said “Republican” at 2 of 10 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Jan 13, 2026 (20%), most recently on Mar 23, 2026.
- What is the probability Kathy Hochul says “Republican” next time?
- 27%, from settlement history (n=10). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Kathy Hochul: ‘Republican’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/kathy-hochul/words/republican (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=kathy-hochul&word=republican · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=kathy-hochul&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP