Kathy Hochul: Speech, Jan 13, 2026
Polymarket What will Kathy Hochul say during the State of the State address?
Markets
14 words · 9 settled yes- Polymarket: named speaker only Polymarket
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Affordability | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Zohran / Mamdani | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Homeless / Homelessness | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| New York / New Yorkers 15+ times | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Republican | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Subway | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Trump 3+ times | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Healthcare | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Covid / Pandemic | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Crypto / Bitcoin | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Cuomo | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Gay / LGBT | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Venezuela | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:22 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=p%3Awhat-will-kathy-hochul-say-during-the-state-of-the-state-address · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP