Will JD Vance say “God” 3+ times?
As of Oct 24, 2026, JD Vance said “God” 3+ times at 7 of 8 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Aug 13, 2025 (88%), most recently on Apr 7, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 55% (n=8, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 5 transcripts we have, of any kind (5 press briefings; Oct 1, 2025 – Sep 3, 2026), since fewer than 2 rallies have transcripts, it reached the market's count (3+, named speaker only) in 1.
- Last 10
- 7/8Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes yes yes yes yes no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
JD Vance
God 3+ times
- Probability
- 55% · n=8
- Settled
- 7/8 (88%)
- Last 5 transcripts
- said in 1 of 5
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (5 press briefings); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…if the Democrats take control of the House or the Senate or, God forbid, both. But let me just say, on the data center question,…
…affected by it. We don't want that to happen in our country, and may God rest the souls of the people who lost their lives.
…ways we tone down the temperature is to have a media that tells the truth. I encourage you all to do that. God bless you.
…be honest, if this thing drags on for another few days, or God forbid another few weeks, we are going to have to lay people…
Every settled listing
newest first · 8 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 21, 2026 | God 3+ times |  Polymarket | No |
| Apr 7, 2026 | God 3+ times | Polymarket | Yes |
| Jan 23, 2026 | God 3+ times | Polymarket | Yes |
| Jan 22, 2026 | God 3+ times | Polymarket | Yes |
| Dec 21, 2025 | God 3+ times | Polymarket | Yes |
| Sep 24, 2025 | God 3+ times | Polymarket | Yes |
| Aug 28, 2025 | God 3+ times | Polymarket | Yes |
| Aug 13, 2025 | God 3+ times | Polymarket | Yes |
Questions
- How often does JD Vance say “God 3+ times”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, JD Vance said “God” 3+ times at 7 of 8 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Aug 13, 2025 (88%), most recently on Apr 7, 2026.
- What is the probability JD Vance says “God 3+ times” next time?
- 55%, from settlement history (n=8). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “JD Vance: ‘God 3+ times’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/jd-vance/words/god-3plus (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=jd-vance&word=god%20%283%2B%20times%29 · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=jd-vance&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP