Will JD Vance say “Energy”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, JD Vance said “Energy” at 3 of 4 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jul 16, 2025 (75%), most recently on Feb 4, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 53% (n=4, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 5 transcripts we have, of any kind (5 press briefings; Oct 1, 2025 – Sep 3, 2026), since fewer than 2 speeches have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 2.
- Last 10
- 3/4Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 2 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
JD Vance
Energy
- Probability
- 53% · n=4
- Settled
- 3/4 (75%)
- Last 5 transcripts
- said in 2 of 5
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (5 press briefings); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…wasn't, you know, a foreign nation that was trying to disrupt world energy markets. There was just an administration that was trying to juice gas…
…They stopped selling oil. And now we've lifted the blockade in order to promote the free flow of energy across across the world. Go ahead.
…the president is seeking to do that. I know the Department of Energy just announced this new deal. It's another great deal for the American…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
Every settled listing
newest first · 4 shown
KalshiQuestions
- How often does JD Vance say “Energy”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, JD Vance said “Energy” at 3 of 4 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jul 16, 2025 (75%), most recently on Feb 4, 2026.
- What is the probability JD Vance says “Energy” next time?
- 53%, from settlement history (n=4). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “JD Vance: ‘Energy’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/jd-vance/words/energy (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=jd-vance&word=energy · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=jd-vance&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP