MrBeast: Episode, Jun 20, 2026
Polymarket What will MrBeast say during his next gaming YouTube video?
Markets
23 words · 10 settled yes- Polymarket: named speaker only Polymarket
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dollar 5+ times | Yes | 53%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Chandler | Yes | 52%n=9 from settlement history | – |
| Best | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Build | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Minecraft | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Hundred / Thousand / Million 10+ times | Yes | 40%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Day | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Dream | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Lose / Loser | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Win / Winner | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Farm | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Fight | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Darius | No | 36%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Survive | No | 36%n=12 from settlement history | – |
| Chocolate | No | 31%n=7 from settlement history | – |
| Stream / Streamer | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Chase | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Fortnite | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Hunt | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Race | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Roblox | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Wife | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Karl | No | 14%n=4 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:22 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=p%3Awhat-will-mrbeast-say-during-his-next-gaming-youtube-video-20260615190245037 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP