The Rachel Maddow Show: Episode, Feb 17, 2026
Kalshi What will Rachel Maddow say during her show?
Markets
15 words · 6 settled yes- Kalshi: the host Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Democrat | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Prison / Prisoner | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Shutdown / Shut Down | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Warrant | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Unconstitutional / Constitution / Constitutional | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Mask / Masked | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| FBI | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Fraud | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Frey / Walz | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Invade / Invading / Invasion | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Obama | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Election | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Epstein | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Kristi / Noem | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Corrupt / Corruption | No | 25%n=2 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXMADDOWMENTION-26FEB17 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP