The Rachel Maddow Show: Episode, Nov 25, 2025

Tue, Nov 25EpisodeHistory onlyThe Rachel Maddow Show

Updated

Markets

12 words · 2 settled yes

backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.

Listed words: result, and the probability (a walk-forward backtest on settled rows)
WordResultProbabilityMarket
ICE Yes–new new word, no probability yet–
New York / Mayor Yes–new new word, no probability yet–
Corrupt / Corruption No–new new word, no probability yet–
Election No–new new word, no probability yet–
Email No–new new word, no probability yet–
Epstein No–new new word, no probability yet–
Far Right No–new new word, no probability yet–
Fascist / Fascism No–new new word, no probability yet–
Russia / Putin No–new new word, no probability yet–
Sedition / Treason No–new new word, no probability yet–
Turkey No–new new word, no probability yet–
Ukraine No–new new word, no probability yet–

Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.

Transcript

No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXMADDOWMENTION-25NOV25 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP