Will “Iran / Iranian” be said on Fox News next time?
As of Oct 26, 2026, “Iran / Iranian” was said on Fox News in 9 of 18 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Apr 18, 2026 (50%), most recently on Oct 5, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 49% (n=18, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 4 episodes we have transcripts for (Aug 22, 2026 – Oct 5, 2026), 1 names the market's speakers, and the word reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in it.
- Last 10
- 7/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes yes yes yes no yes no yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 2 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Fox News (interviews)
Iran / Iranian
- Probability
- 49% · n=18
- Settled
- 9/18 (50%)
- Last 4 episodes
- said in 1 of 1 that name the speakers
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Counts: named speaker only
3 counted; 4 by speakers the rule does not count.
Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.
Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.
Counts: named speaker only
5 counted; 67 by speakers the rule does not count.
Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.
Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.
We don’t have this transcript yet.
Every settled listing
newest first · 18 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 5, 2026 | Iran / Iranian |  Kalshi | Yes | 3 |
| Sep 24, 2026 | Iran / Iranian | Kalshi | Yes | 5 |
| Aug 23, 2026 | Iran / Iranian | Kalshi | No | 0 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Iran / Iranian | Kalshi | Yes | – |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Iran / Iranian | Kalshi | No | – |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Iran / Iranian | Kalshi | Yes | – |
| Jun 27, 2026 | Iran / Iranian | Kalshi | Yes | – |
| Jun 13, 2026 | Iran / Iranian | Kalshi | Yes | – |
| Jun 7, 2026 | Iran / Iranian | Kalshi | Yes | – |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Iran / Iranian | Kalshi | No | – |
| May 23, 2026 | Iran / Iranian | Kalshi | Yes | – |
| May 14, 2026 | Iran / Iranian | Kalshi | No | – |
| May 12, 2026 | Iran / Iranian | Kalshi | No | – |
| May 11, 2026 | Iran / Iranian | Kalshi | No | – |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Iran / Iranian | Kalshi | No | – |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Iran / Iranian | Kalshi | No | – |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Iran / Iranian | Kalshi | Yes | – |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Iran / Iranian | Kalshi | No | – |
Questions
- How often is “Iran / Iranian” said on Fox News?
- As of Oct 26, 2026, “Iran / Iranian” was said on Fox News in 9 of 18 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Apr 18, 2026 (50%), most recently on Oct 5, 2026.
- What is the probability “Iran / Iranian” is said on Fox News next time?
- 49%, from settlement history (n=18). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Fox News: ‘Iran / Iranian’ mention history”, as of Oct 26, 2026, https://parrot.markets/news/fox-news-interviews/words/iran-or-iranian (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=fox-news-interviews&word=iran%20%2F%20iranian · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=fox-news-interviews&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP