Will “Trust” be said on Survivor next time?

As of Oct 24, 2026, “Trust” was said on Survivor in 4 of 25 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Oct 1, 2025 (16%), most recently on May 6, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 28% (n=25, from settlement history), not a forecast.

28%from settlement history only · n=25counts: the host
Last 10
1/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no no no no no yes no no
Streak
not said the last 2 times
Counts
the host
Export

Copy

API

Open as TSVfor agentsOpen as JSONcolumnar

GET /api/v1/word?entity=survivor&word=trust

Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Survivor

Trust

Probability
28% · n=25
Settled
4/25 (16%)

Next listing counts: the host

We don’t have transcripts for Survivor yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.

What will the contestants say during Survivor Season 50 Finale? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Jeff Probst say during the Survivor Season 50 Finale? · settled no

Open the appearance

What will the contestants say during Survivor Ep 12? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Jeff Probst say during Survivor Season 50 Episode 12? · settled no

Open the appearance

What will any participating contestant say during Survivor Season 50 Episode 11? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Jeff Probst say during Survivor Season 50 Episode 11? · settled yes

Open the appearance

What will the contestants say during Survivor Ep 10? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Jeff Probst say during Survivor Ep 10? · settled no

Open the appearance

What will the contestants say during Survivor Ep 9? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Jeff Probst say during Survivor Ep 9? · settled no

Open the appearance

Every settled listing

newest first · 25 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResult
May 20, 2026TrustKalshiNo
May 13, 2026TrustKalshiNo
May 6, 2026TrustKalshiYes
Apr 29, 2026TrustKalshiNo
Apr 22, 2026TrustKalshiNo
Apr 15, 2026TrustKalshiNo
Apr 8, 2026TrustKalshiNo
Apr 1, 2026TrustKalshiNo
Mar 25, 2026TrustKalshiNo
Mar 18, 2026TrustKalshiNo
Mar 12, 2026TrustKalshiNo
Mar 5, 2026TrustKalshiNo
Feb 26, 2026TrustKalshiNo
Dec 18, 2025TrustKalshiNo
Dec 11, 2025TrustKalshiNo
Dec 4, 2025TrustKalshiYes
Nov 27, 2025TrustKalshiNo
Nov 20, 2025TrustKalshiNo
Nov 13, 2025TrustKalshiNo
Nov 6, 2025TrustKalshiNo
Oct 30, 2025TrustKalshiNo
Oct 23, 2025TrustKalshiNo
Oct 16, 2025TrustKalshiYes
Oct 8, 2025TrustKalshiNo
Oct 1, 2025TrustKalshiYes

Questions

How often is “Trust” said on Survivor?
As of Oct 24, 2026, “Trust” was said on Survivor in 4 of 25 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Oct 1, 2025 (16%), most recently on May 6, 2026.
What is the probability “Trust” is said on Survivor next time?
28%, from settlement history (n=25). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: the host.

Cite parrot.markets, “Survivor: ‘Trust’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/entertainment/survivor/words/trust (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=survivor&word=trust · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=survivor&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP