Survivor: Episode, Oct 1, 2025
Kalshi What will Jeff Probst say during Survivor Episode 2?
Markets
15 words · 4 settled yes- Kalshi: the host Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Blindside / Blind Side | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Fiji | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Immunity | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Trust | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Alliance | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Boston Rob | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Bromance | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Cinema | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Drop Your Buffs 2+ times | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Fake | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Quit | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Risk | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Target | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Unfair | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Weak | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
History only. We have no transcript source for this category; the results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXSURVIVORMENTION-25OCT01 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP