Survivor: Episode, May 20, 2026
Kalshi What will Jeff Probst say during the Survivor Season 50 Finale?
Markets
20 words · 11 settled yes- Kalshi: the host Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tie / Tied | Yes | 66%n=9 from settlement history | – |
| MrBeast / Beast | Yes | 65%n=15 from settlement history | – |
| Fire | Yes | 61%n=23 from settlement history | – |
| Drop / Dropped | Yes | 55%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Alliance | Yes | 43%n=34 from settlement history | – |
| Immunity Idol | Yes | 42%n=23 from settlement history | – |
| Billie / Eilish | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Zac Brown | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Comeback / Come Back | Yes | 34%n=19 from settlement history | – |
| Fiji | Yes | 28%n=8 from settlement history | – |
| Fallon | Yes | 24%n=10 from settlement history | – |
| Strategy / Strategic / Strategize | No | 67%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Snake | No | 55%n=12 from settlement history | – |
| Auction | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Record / Longest | No | 40%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Blindside / Blind Side | No | 39%n=11 from settlement history | – |
| Sacrifice / Sacrificed | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Trust | No | 28%n=24 from settlement history | – |
| Medic / Medical | No | 22%n=11 from settlement history | – |
| Hunger / Hungry | No | 17%n=23 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
History only. We have no transcript source for this category; the results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXSURVIVORMENTION-26MAY20 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP