# Donald Trump (donald-trump) · window_week by 2026-03-01 (settled) · 25 words · P p:what-will-trump-say-this-week-march-1 · as_of 2026-10-27T01:48:44Z
# scope P named · n/y settled before 2026-03-01 · tn/th last 1 transcripts of any kind 2026-01-20 · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v P · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules P p:what-will-trump-say-this-week-march-1 (every P row; the listed term = w): This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between February 23, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and March 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
# coverage no known appearances yet (as of 2026-10-20T23:46:29Z) · agree blank = not graded; lower_bound 1 = cnt is a floor (a window not fully read), never a NO
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	tn	th	p	p_src	cnt	cnt_all	res	lower_bound
Transgender	transgender	71	38	0.54	YYYYnYYnnY	1	1	0.64	hist	0	0	yes	1
Barack Hussein Obama	barack hussein obama	44	28	0.64	YnnYYYYYYn	1	0	0.63	hist	0	0	yes	1
TrumpRX	trumprx	0	0			1	0	0.62	hist	0	0	yes	1
Space Force	space force	9	5	0.56	nnnnYYYYY	1	0	0.6	hist	0	0	yes	1
Dell	dell	3	3	1	YYY	1	1	0.55	hist	0	0	yes	1
Autopen	autopen	29	14	0.48	nnYnYYYYYn	1	0	0.55	hist	0	0	yes	1
Fleet	fleet	1	1	1	Y	1	0	0.53	hist	0	0	no	1
Iowa	iowa	4	4	1	YYYY	1	0	0.51	hist	0	0	yes	1
Crooked	crooked	0	0			1	1	0.49	hist	0	0	yes	1
Unaffordable Care Act	unaffordable care act	1	0	0	n	1	0	0.47	hist	0	0	yes	1
Tren de Aragua	tren de aragua	12	7	0.58	YYYYnYnnYn	1	1	0.46	hist	0	0	no	1
Nobel / Peace Prize	nobel|peace prize	5	2	0.4	nnYnY	1	1	0.45	hist	0	0	yes	1
Golden Dome / Golden Age	golden age|golden dome	5	1	0.2	nnYnn	1	0	0.41	hist	0	0	yes	1
Golden Dome	golden dome	19	4	0.21	nnnnnnnnnn	1	0	0.29	hist	0	0	no	1
TikTok	tiktok	48	10	0.21	nnnnnYnYnn	1	0	0.26	hist	0	0	no	1
Crypto / Bitcoin	bitcoin|crypto	287	27	0.09	nnnnnnnnnn	1	0	0.26	hist	0	0	no	1
Directly To The People	directly to the people	0	0			1	0	0.51	prior	0	0	yes	1
Fight Fight Fight	fight fight fight	0	0			1	0	0.51	prior	0	0	no	1
Grid	grid	0	0			1	0	0.51	prior	0	0	yes	1
Italy / Italian	italian|italy	0	0			1	1	0.51	prior	0	0	no	1
Made in America	made in america	0	0			1	0	0.51	prior	0	0	yes	1
Mass Destruction	mass destruction	0	0			1	1	0.51	prior	0	0	yes	1
Restaurant	restaurant	0	0			1	1	0.51	prior	0	0	no	1
Waste	waste	0	0			1	0	0.51	prior	0	0	yes	1
Whole Dictionary	whole dictionary	0	0			1	0	0.51	prior	0	0	no	1