Will Donald Trump say “11,888”?
As of Oct 26, 2026, Donald Trump said “11,888” at 2 of 2 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Sep 6, 2026 (100%), most recently on Sep 10, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 62% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 transcripts we have, of any kind (5 rallies, 3 remarks; Sep 25, 2026 – Oct 25, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 1. 1 later appearance without a transcript yet (Oct 26, 2026) is not counted.
- Last 10
- 2/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 2 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
11,888
- Probability
- 62% · n=2
- Settled
- 2/2 (100%)
- Last 8 transcripts
- said in 1 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (5 rallies, 3 remarks); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…They emptied out their prisons. They were drug dealers. They were murderers. 11,888 murders. And I'll tell you what, it's the hardest thing that the…
Every settled listing
newest first · 2 shown
PolymarketQuestions
- How often does Donald Trump say “11,888”?
- As of Oct 26, 2026, Donald Trump said “11,888” at 2 of 2 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Sep 6, 2026 (100%), most recently on Sep 10, 2026.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “11,888” next time?
- 62%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘11,888’ mention history”, as of Oct 26, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/11-888 (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=11%20888 · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP