Will Donald Trump say “Graffiti”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Graffiti” at 2 of 3 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Nov 2, 2024 (67%), most recently on Aug 11, 2025. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 43% (n=3, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 transcripts we have, of any kind (3 rallies, 3 remarks, 2 speeches; Sep 22, 2026 – Oct 23, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 2. 1 later appearance without a transcript yet (Oct 24, 2026) is not counted.
- Last 10
- 2/3Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Graffiti
- Probability
- 43% · n=3
- Settled
- 2/3 (67%)
- Last 8 transcripts
- said in 2 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (3 rallies, 3 remarks, 2 speeches); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…see this that worked. You got to see the marble had red graffiti all over it. It's and it's tough getting that stuff off. Honestly,…
…beautiful cities, one of the cleanest. The parks, the new grass, the graffiti's all been removed. And it's one of it went from one of…
Every settled listing
newest first · 3 shown
Polymarket
KalshiQuestions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Graffiti”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Graffiti” at 2 of 3 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Nov 2, 2024 (67%), most recently on Aug 11, 2025.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Graffiti” next time?
- 43%, from settlement history (n=3). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Graffiti’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/graffiti (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=graffiti · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP