Will Donald Trump say “Migrant Criminal”?
As of Oct 27, 2026, Donald Trump said “Migrant Criminal” at 1 of 3 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Sep 6, 2026 (33%), most recently on Sep 17, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 44% (n=3, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 transcripts we have, of any kind (5 rallies, 3 remarks; Sep 27, 2026 – Oct 25, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 0. 3 later appearances without a transcript yet (since Oct 26, 2026) are not counted.
- Last 10
- 1/3Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Migrant Criminal
- Probability
- 44% · n=3
- Settled
- 1/3 (33%)
- Last 8 transcripts
- said in 0 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Every settled listing
newest first · 3 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | Migrant Criminal |  Polymarket | Yes | – (settled yes · not found in what we could read (4 of 6 known appearances transcribed)) |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Migrant Criminal | Polymarket | No | – (settled no · not found in what we could read (16 of 18 known appearances transcribed)) |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Migrant Criminal | Polymarket | No | – (settled no · not found in what we could read (4 of 6 known appearances transcribed)) |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Migrant Criminal”?
- As of Oct 27, 2026, Donald Trump said “Migrant Criminal” at 1 of 3 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Sep 6, 2026 (33%), most recently on Sep 17, 2026.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Migrant Criminal” next time?
- 44%, from settlement history (n=3). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Migrant Criminal’ mention history”, as of Oct 27, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/migrant-criminal (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=migrant%20criminal · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP