# JD Vance (jd-vance) · interview 2026-06-17 · 17 words · K k:KXVANCEMENTION-26JUN17B · as_of 2026-10-25T02:01:18Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2026-06-17 · tn/th last 3 transcripts of any kind 2025-10-01..2026-05-19 (under 2 interview transcripts) · same on every row: v K, p_src hist · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXVANCEMENTION-26JUN17B ({word} = w of K rows): If JD Vance says {word} as part of CBS Mornings , then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	thr	n	y	rate	l10	tn	th	p	res
Iran / Iranian	iran|iranian	1	9	7	0.78	nYYnYYYYY	3	2	0.64	yes
Trump (3+ times)	trump#3	3	8	6	0.75	YYnYYYnY	3	1	0.56	yes
Biden	biden	1	45	31	0.69	YnnYnnYnYn	3	3	0.54	no
Democrat	democrat	1	33	23	0.7	YYYnYnnYnY	3	3	0.52	yes
Terrorist / Terrorism	terrorism|terrorist	1	26	12	0.46	YnYnnYYnYY	3	2	0.52	yes
Pope	pope	1	5	2	0.4	YnnYn	3	1	0.44	yes
Usha	usha	1	10	5	0.5	nnYYYYnnnY	3	1	0.42	no
American Dream	american dream	1	25	16	0.64	YYYnnnYnnn	3	0	0.37	no
Election	election	1	19	8	0.42	nYnYnYnnnn	3	0	0.36	no
Fraud	fraud	1	29	15	0.52	YYnYnnnnnn	3	2	0.35	no
2028 / Campaign	2028|campaign	1	8	4	0.5	YYnnYnnY	3	1	0.35	no
Afford / Affordable / Affordability	afford|affordability|affordable	1	26	12	0.46	YYYnnnnYnn	3	2	0.33	no
Israel / Israeli	israel|israeli	1	22	5	0.23	nnnnnnYYYn	3	0	0.33	no
Oil / Gas / Gasoline	gas|gasoline|oil	1	12	3	0.25	nYnnnnYYnn	3	1	0.29	yes
250	250	1	5	1	0.2	Ynnnn	3	0	0.28	no
America First	america first	1	28	4	0.14	nnnnnnYnnn	3	0	0.17	no
AI / Artificial Intelligence	ai|artificial intelligence	1	35	6	0.17	nYnYnnnnnY	3	2	0.14	no