Will JD Vance say “God”?

As of Oct 24, 2026, JD Vance said “God” at 3 of 3 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Sep 21, 2025 (100%), most recently on Apr 29, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 58% (n=3, from settlement history), not a forecast.

Of the last 5 transcripts we have, of any kind (5 press briefings; Oct 1, 2025 – Sep 3, 2026), since fewer than 2 episodes have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 4.

58%from settlement history only · n=3counts: named speaker only
Last 10
3/3Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes
Streak
said the last 3 times
Counts
named speaker only
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Where it was said

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JD Vance

God

Probability
58% · n=3
Settled
3/3 (100%)
Last 5 transcripts
said in 4 of 5

Next listing counts: named speaker only

Latest quotes

from the latest transcripts we have (5 press briefings); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.

JD VancespeakerVice President JD Vance Briefs Members of the Media, Sep. 3, 2026 · Sep 3, 2026 · 29:38In transcript

…if the Democrats take control of the House or the Senate or, God forbid, both. But let me just say, on the data center question,…

JD VancespeakerVice President JD Vance Briefs Members of the Media, May 19, 2026 · May 19, 2026 · 28:37In transcript

…affected by it. We don't want that to happen in our country, and may God rest the souls of the people who lost their lives.

JD VanceotherPress Briefing by Press Secretary Karoline Leavitt and the Vice President, Jan. 8, 2026 · Jan 8, 2026 · 37:46In transcript

…ways we tone down the temperature is to have a media that tells the truth. I encourage you all to do that. God bless you.

JD VanceotherPress Secretary Karoline Leavitt Briefs Members of the Media, Oct. 1, 2025 · Oct 1, 2025 · 15:27In transcript

…be honest, if this thing drags on for another few days, or God forbid another few weeks, we are going to have to lay people…

What will JD Vance say during his fraud press conference? · not listed

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What will JD Vance say during his announcement? · not listed

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What will JD Vance say during his rally in North Carolina? · not listed

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What will JD Vance say during his CBS Town Hall? · not listed

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What will JD Vance say during his rally in Michigan? · not listed

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What will JD Vance say during his rally in Ohio? · not listed

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What will JD Vance say during his rally in Alaska? · not listed

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What will JD Vance say during Fox News: Hannity? · not listed

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What will JD Vance say during his Midterm Rally in Florida? · not listed

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What will JD Vance say during his Midterm Rally in Texas? · not listed

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Every settled listing

newest first · 3 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResult
Apr 29, 2026GodPolymarketYes
Nov 27, 2025GodKalshiYes
Sep 21, 2025GodKalshiYes

Questions

How often does JD Vance say “God”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, JD Vance said “God” at 3 of 3 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Sep 21, 2025 (100%), most recently on Apr 29, 2026.
What is the probability JD Vance says “God” next time?
58%, from settlement history (n=3). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “JD Vance: ‘God’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/jd-vance/words/god (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=jd-vance&word=god · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=jd-vance&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP