# JD Vance (jd-vance) · remarks 2025-11-27 · 20 words · K k:KXVANCEMENTION-25NOV27 · as_of 2026-10-26T20:39:46Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2025-11-27 · tn/th last 1 transcripts of any kind 2025-10-01 (under 2 remarks transcripts) · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXVANCEMENTION-25NOV27 ({word} = w of K rows): If JD Vance says {word} as part of remarks at Fort Campbell, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	tn	th	p	p_src	res
Biden	biden	10	9	0.9	YYYnYYYYYY	1	1	0.71	hist	no
Democrat	democrat	5	4	0.8	YnYYY	1	1	0.62	hist	yes
Illegal Alien	illegal alien	5	4	0.8	YYYnY	1	1	0.6	hist	no
Affordable / Affordability	affordability|affordable	2	2	1	YY	1	0	0.59	hist	no
God	god	1	1	1	Y	1	1	0.54	hist	yes
Inflation	inflation	2	2	1	YY	1	0	0.52	hist	no
Tariff	tariff	8	4	0.5	YnnnYnYY	1	0	0.47	hist	no
Investment	investment	4	2	0.5	nYYn	1	0	0.44	hist	no
America First	america first	3	1	0.33	nYn	1	0	0.42	hist	no
Middle East	middle east	3	1	0.33	Ynn	1	0	0.41	hist	yes
China	china	7	3	0.43	YYnnnnY	1	0	0.4	hist	no
Working Class / Middle Class	middle class|working class	0	0			1	0	0.37	hist	no
Department of War	department of war	1	0	0	n	1	0	0.35	hist	no
Peace	peace	1	0	0	n	1	0	0.35	hist	no
Trillion	trillion	1	0	0	n	1	0	0.35	hist	no
Woke	woke	2	0	0	nn	1	0	0.31	hist	no
Epstein	epstein	3	0	0	nnn	1	0	0.29	hist	no
Radical Left	radical left	4	0	0	nnnn	1	0	0.22	hist	no
Grocery	grocery	0	0			1	0	0.43	prior	no
Walmart	walmart	0	0			1	0	0.43	prior	no