Will Donald Trump say “Bobby / Kennedy”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Bobby / Kennedy” at 5 of 8 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Jan 15, 2026 (62%), most recently on May 18, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 47% (n=8, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 remarks we have transcripts for (Sep 21, 2026 – Oct 21, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 1.
- Last 10
- 5/8Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes no no yes yes yes no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Bobby / Kennedy
- Probability
- 47% · n=8
- Settled
- 5/8 (62%)
- Last 8 remarks
- said in 1 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…of tariffs and smart people like Scott and Howard and we love Bobby. Wow. How about Bobby? I watched him. What a what applause Bobby…
…fail. Because -- I'll make this announcement today on behalf of Secretary Kennedy, Health and Human Services, that we are going to defer $1.2 billion…
Every settled listing
newest first · 9 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 21, 2026 | Bobby / Kennedy |  Kalshi | No |
| May 18, 2026 | Bobby / Kennedy | Kalshi | Yes |
| May 11, 2026 | Bobby / Kennedy | Kalshi | Yes |
| Apr 23, 2026 | Bobby / Kennedy |  Polymarket | Yes |
| Apr 23, 2026 | Bobby / Kennedy | Kalshi | Yes |
| Mar 31, 2026 | Bobby / Kennedy | Kalshi | No |
| Mar 17, 2026 | Bobby / Kennedy | Kalshi | No |
| Jan 17, 2026 | Bobby / Kennedy | Kalshi | Yes |
| Jan 15, 2026 | Bobby / Kennedy | Kalshi | Yes |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Bobby / Kennedy”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Bobby / Kennedy” at 5 of 8 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Jan 15, 2026 (62%), most recently on May 18, 2026.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Bobby / Kennedy” next time?
- 47%, from settlement history (n=8). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Bobby / Kennedy’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/bobby-or-kennedy (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=bobby%20%2F%20kennedy · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP