What is the probability Zohran Mamdani says “Literacy / Read / Reading” next time?

47%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.

Who has to say it for the market to count?

Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Will Zohran Mamdani say “Literacy / Read / Reading”?

Name: Zohran Mamdani: “Literacy / Read / Reading” mention history
Creator: parrot.markets
License: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/

As of Oct 27, 2026, Zohran Mamdani said “Literacy / Read / Reading” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on May 13, 2026.

Of the last 8 remarks we have transcripts for (Oct 6, 2026 – Oct 23, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 1.

–too little history for a probability (n=1)

Last 10: 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
Streak: said last time
Counts: named speaker only

Updated Oct 27, 2026, 17:00 UTC

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Zohran Mamdani

Literacy / Read / Reading

Probability: – · n=1 (too little history)
Settled: 1/1 (100%)
Last 8 remarks: said in 1 of 8

Next listing counts: named speaker only

Latest quotes

from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.

QuestionreporterMayor Mamdani Expands Community-Based Violence Prevention to Bushwick, Harlem, and Washington Heights/Inwood · Oct 20, 2026In transcript

I had a question for you. I think I read, and correct me if I'm wrong on this, I believe that this contract is going…

Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.

Zohran MamdanispeakerMayor Mamdani and Speaker Menin Cut Red Tape to Expedite Payments for Up to 800 Nonprofits · Oct 8, 2026In transcript

…at the vigil, recounting their own family members who were killed; or reading the testimonies of Palestinians whose family members had been killed; or the…