Will Donald Trump say “Communist”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Communist” at 8 of 13 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Aug 22, 2024 (62%), most recently on Aug 5, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 60% (n=13, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 rallies we have transcripts for (Aug 10, 2026 – Oct 23, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 6. 1 later rally without a transcript yet (Oct 24, 2026) is not counted.
- Last 10
- 6/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no yes no no yes yes yes yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 5 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
- Market
- 96¢ Kalshi (may be delayed)
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Communist
- Probability
- 60% · n=13
- Settled
- 8/13 (62%)
- Last 8 rallies
- said in 6 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…But Nixon is a card carrying member of the Democrat Socialists of America, the Communist, whose official platform calls for abolishing the US Senate, abolishing
…and she's fantastic, actually. And if you don't if you don't want communists controlling the US Senate, which is between How about the gentleman from…
…election is very simple. You can vote for the radical left democrat communist to loot your wealth, raise your taxes by $5 trillion, annihilate your…
…also seeking a fundamental change in the situation in Cuba where the communist regime is under great pressure, the biggest pressure they've ever been under.…
Every settled listing
newest first · 13 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 9, 2026 | Communist |  Polymarket | Yes | 5 |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Communist | Polymarket | Yes | 2 |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Communist | Polymarket | Yes | 1 |
| Jul 16, 2026 | Communist | Polymarket | Yes | 1 |
| Jan 31, 2026 | Communist | Polymarket | Yes | 2 |
| Nov 19, 2025 | Communist | Polymarket | No | – |
| Nov 12, 2025 | Communist | Polymarket | No | – |
| Nov 5, 2025 | Communist | Polymarket | Yes | – |
| Oct 30, 2025 | Communist |  Kalshi | No | – |
| Oct 15, 2025 | Communist | Polymarket | No | – |
| Aug 17, 2025 | Communist | Polymarket | Yes | – (settled yes · nothing to count yet (no known appearances yet)) |
| Jul 11, 2025 | Communist | Polymarket | Yes | – (settled yes · nothing to count yet (no known appearances yet)) |
| Aug 22, 2024 | Communist | Polymarket | No | – (settled no · not found in what we could read (the post archive does not cover the window)) |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Communist”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Communist” at 8 of 13 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Aug 22, 2024 (62%), most recently on Aug 5, 2026.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Communist” next time?
- 60%, from settlement history (n=13). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Communist’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/communist (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=communist · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP