Will Donald Trump say “Rigged”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Rigged” at 7 of 12 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Jun 27, 2024 (58%), most recently on Sep 26, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 46% (n=12, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 transcripts we have, of any kind (3 rallies, 3 remarks, 2 speeches; Sep 22, 2026 – Oct 23, 2026), since fewer than 2 posts windows have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 1. 1 later appearance without a transcript yet (Oct 24, 2026) is not counted.
- Last 10
- 6/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes yes yes yes yes yes no no no
- Streak
- not said the last 3 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Rigged
- Probability
- 46% · n=12
- Settled
- 7/12 (58%)
- Last 8 transcripts
- said in 1 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (3 rallies, 3 remarks, 2 speeches); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…the right to run again cuz they cheated. They cheated. They They rigged the election. They rigged that. We We did so good. No, we…
Every settled listing
newest first · 12 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Rigged |  Polymarket | No | 0 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Rigged | Polymarket | No | 0 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Rigged | Polymarket | No | 0 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Rigged | Polymarket | Yes | 1 |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Rigged | Polymarket | Yes | 1 |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Rigged | Polymarket | Yes | 1 |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Rigged | Polymarket | Yes | 1 |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Rigged | Polymarket | Yes | 3 |
| Jul 27, 2025 | Rigged | Polymarket | Yes | – (settled yes · nothing to count yet (no known appearances yet)) |
| Mar 28, 2025 | Rigged |  Kalshi | No | – |
| Jul 18, 2024 | Rigged | Polymarket | No | – |
| Jun 27, 2024 | Rigged | Polymarket | Yes | – |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Rigged”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Rigged” at 7 of 12 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Jun 27, 2024 (58%), most recently on Sep 26, 2026.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Rigged” next time?
- 46%, from settlement history (n=12). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Rigged’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/rigged (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=rigged · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP