Will Zohran Mamdani say “Trash / Garbage”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Zohran Mamdani said “Trash / Garbage” at 2 of 5 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Feb 3, 2026 (40%), most recently on Feb 4, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 35% (n=5, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 remarks we have transcripts for (Oct 6, 2026 – Oct 23, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 0.
- Last 10
- 2/5Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes no no no
- Streak
- not said the last 3 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Zohran Mamdani
Trash / Garbage
- Probability
- 35% · n=5
- Settled
- 2/5 (40%)
- Last 8 remarks
- said in 0 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Every settled listing
newest first · 5 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 6, 2026 | Trash / Garbage |  Kalshi | No | 0 |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Trash / Garbage | Kalshi | No | 0 |
| Feb 5, 2026 | Trash / Garbage | Kalshi | No | 0 |
| Feb 4, 2026 | Trash / Garbage | Kalshi | Yes | – |
| Feb 3, 2026 | Trash / Garbage | Kalshi | Yes | 3 |
Questions
- How often does Zohran Mamdani say “Trash / Garbage”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Zohran Mamdani said “Trash / Garbage” at 2 of 5 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Feb 3, 2026 (40%), most recently on Feb 4, 2026.
- What is the probability Zohran Mamdani says “Trash / Garbage” next time?
- 35%, from settlement history (n=5). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Zohran Mamdani: ‘Trash / Garbage’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/zohran-mamdani/words/garbage-or-trash (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=zohran-mamdani&word=garbage%20%2F%20trash · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=zohran-mamdani&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP