Will Zohran Mamdani say “2%”?
As of Oct 25, 2026, Zohran Mamdani did not say “2%” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Feb 3, 2026.
Of the last 8 remarks we have transcripts for (Oct 6, 2026 – Oct 23, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 1.
–too little history for a probability (n=1)
- Last 10
- 0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Updated
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Zohran Mamdani
2%
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 0/1 (0%)
- Last 8 remarks
- said in 1 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 3, 2026 | 2% |  Kalshi | No | 0 |
Questions
- How often does Zohran Mamdani say “2%”?
- As of Oct 25, 2026, Zohran Mamdani did not say “2%” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Feb 3, 2026.
- What is the probability Zohran Mamdani says “2%” next time?
- 31%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Zohran Mamdani: ‘2%’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/zohran-mamdani/words/2-percent (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=zohran-mamdani&word=2%25 · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=zohran-mamdani&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP