Will Zohran Mamdani say “Millionaire / Billionaire”?
As of Oct 26, 2026, Zohran Mamdani did not say “Millionaire / Billionaire” at any of the 6 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jan 30, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 18% (n=6, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 remarks we have transcripts for (Oct 6, 2026 – Oct 23, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 0.
- Last 10
- 0/6Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no no no no
- Streak
- not said the last 6 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Zohran Mamdani
Millionaire / Billionaire
- Probability
- 18% · n=6
- Settled
- 0/6 (0%)
- Last 8 remarks
- said in 0 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Every settled listing
newest first · 6 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 19, 2026 | Millionaire / Billionaire |  Kalshi | No | 0 |
| Feb 18, 2026 | Millionaire / Billionaire | Kalshi | No | – |
| Feb 3, 2026 | Millionaire / Billionaire | Kalshi | No | 0 |
| Feb 2, 2026 | Millionaire / Billionaire | Kalshi | No | 0 |
| Jan 31, 2026 | Millionaire / Billionaire | Kalshi | No | 0 |
| Jan 30, 2026 | Millionaire / Billionaire | Kalshi | No | – |
Questions
- How often does Zohran Mamdani say “Millionaire / Billionaire”?
- As of Oct 26, 2026, Zohran Mamdani did not say “Millionaire / Billionaire” at any of the 6 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jan 30, 2026.
- What is the probability Zohran Mamdani says “Millionaire / Billionaire” next time?
- 18%, from settlement history (n=6). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Zohran Mamdani: ‘Millionaire / Billionaire’ mention history”, as of Oct 26, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/zohran-mamdani/words/billionaire-or-millionaire (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=zohran-mamdani&word=billionaire%20%2F%20millionaire · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=zohran-mamdani&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP