Tue, Nov 17, 2026

Mention markets on this date, across every hub.

7 eventsData updated Oct 25, 2026, 11:31 UTC· Source: Kalshi, Polymarket, transcripts

Listed words

K = Kalshi, P = Polymarket: mid prices, up to about 20 minutes old. Not advice.

said / not said on each settled listing
no appearance
chance it is said next time

Tue, Nov 17

7 events

ASAmer Sports

AS: times each word was said per appearance, oldest first, and the probability for the next one
Word	the last settled listing	Chance next call: probability
TariffK 77¢	Tariff: said, the last settled listing	95% from settlement history blended with transcripts
OlympicK 48¢	Olympic: said, the last settled listing	71% from settlement history blended with transcripts
NorvanK 59¢	Norvan: said, the last settled listing	68% from settlement history blended with transcripts
Foot LockerK 62¢	Foot Locker: said, the last settled listing	66% from settlement history blended with transcripts
SabalenkaK 46¢	Sabalenka: said, the last settled listing	57% from settlement history blended with transcripts
REIK 51¢	REI: not said, the last settled listing	43% from settlement history blended with transcripts

Kalshi+7 more words Last call · Aug 18, 2026

DISDisney

DIS: times each word was said per appearance, oldest first, and the probability for the next one
Word	4 listings before the last	3 listings before the last	2 listings before the last	1 listing before the last	the last settled listing	Chance next call: probability
AIK 76¢	AI: no appearance in 4 listings before the last	AI: no appearance in 3 listings before the last	AI: no appearance in 2 listings before the last	AI: no appearance in 1 listing before the last	AI: said, the last settled listing	91% from settlement history blended with transcripts
AttendanceK 78¢	Attendance: no appearance in 4 listings before the last	Attendance: no appearance in 3 listings before the last	Attendance: no appearance in 2 listings before the last	Attendance: said, 1 listing before the last	Attendance: said, the last settled listing	90% from settlement history blended with transcripts
Box OfficeK 73¢	Box Office: no appearance in 4 listings before the last	Box Office: no appearance in 3 listings before the last	Box Office: no appearance in 2 listings before the last	Box Office: said, 1 listing before the last	Box Office: said, the last settled listing	88% from settlement history blended with transcripts
ChurnK 78¢	Churn: no appearance in 4 listings before the last	Churn: no appearance in 3 listings before the last	Churn: no appearance in 2 listings before the last	Churn: no appearance in 1 listing before the last	Churn: no appearance in the last settled listing	86% from transcript model
MoanaK 46¢	Moana: no appearance in 4 listings before the last	Moana: no appearance in 3 listings before the last	Moana: no appearance in 2 listings before the last	Moana: said, 1 listing before the last	Moana: said, the last settled listing	80% from settlement history blended with transcripts
Abu DhabiK 76¢	Abu Dhabi: said, 4 listings before the last	Abu Dhabi: said, 3 listings before the last	Abu Dhabi: said, 2 listings before the last	Abu Dhabi: said, 1 listing before the last	Abu Dhabi: said, the last settled listing	76% from settlement history blended with transcripts

Kalshi+8 more words Last call · Aug 5, 2026

FUTUFutu

FUTU: times each word was said per appearance, oldest first, and the probability for the next one
Word	the last settled listing	Chance next call: probability
AustraliaK 46¢	Australia: said, the last settled listing	66% from settlement history blended with transcripts
CFTCK 46¢	CFTC: said, the last settled listing	38% from settlement history blended with transcripts
PantherTradeK 46¢	PantherTrade: not said, the last settled listing	37% from settlement history blended with transcripts
TokenizedK 46¢	Tokenized: not said, the last settled listing	32% from settlement history blended with transcripts
StakingK 46¢	Staking: not said, the last settled listing	30% from settlement history blended with transcripts
FraudK 46¢	Fraud: not said, the last settled listing	26% from settlement history blended with transcripts

Kalshi+5 more words Last call · Aug 20, 2026

HDHome Depot

HD: times each word was said per appearance, oldest first, and the probability for the next one
Word	3 listings before the last	2 listings before the last	1 listing before the last	the last settled listing	Chance next call: probability
TariffK 66¢	Tariff: said, 3 listings before the last	Tariff: said, 2 listings before the last	Tariff: said, 1 listing before the last	Tariff: said, the last settled listing	94% from settlement history blended with transcripts
InnovationK 77¢	Innovation: said, 3 listings before the last	Innovation: said, 2 listings before the last	Innovation: said, 1 listing before the last	Innovation: said, the last settled listing	89% from settlement history blended with transcripts
WeatherK 46¢	Weather: no appearance in 3 listings before the last	Weather: no appearance in 2 listings before the last	Weather: not said, 1 listing before the last	Weather: said, the last settled listing	85% from settlement history blended with transcripts
MexicoK 72¢	Mexico: no appearance in 3 listings before the last	Mexico: no appearance in 2 listings before the last	Mexico: no appearance in 1 listing before the last	Mexico: said, the last settled listing	84% from settlement history blended with transcripts
VolatilityK 46¢	Volatility: not said, 3 listings before the last	Volatility: said, 2 listings before the last	Volatility: not said, 1 listing before the last	Volatility: said, the last settled listing	61% from settlement history blended with transcripts
LumberK 61¢	Lumber: no appearance in 3 listings before the last	Lumber: no appearance in 2 listings before the last	Lumber: not said, 1 listing before the last	Lumber: said, the last settled listing	54% from settlement history blended with transcripts

Kalshi+8 more words Last call · Aug 18, 2026

KLARKlarna

KLAR: times each word was said per appearance, oldest first, and the probability for the next one
Word	1 listing before the last	the last settled listing	Chance next call: probability
DelinquencyK 48¢	Delinquency: said, 1 listing before the last	Delinquency: said, the last settled listing	82% from settlement history blended with transcripts
WalmartK 46¢	Walmart: no appearance in 1 listing before the last	Walmart: said, the last settled listing	76% from settlement history blended with transcripts
ProfitabilityK 46¢	Profitability: not said, 1 listing before the last	Profitability: said, the last settled listing	74% from settlement history blended with transcripts
TailwindK 46¢	Tailwind: said, 1 listing before the last	Tailwind: said, the last settled listing	66% from settlement history blended with transcripts
AIK 46¢	AI: not said, 1 listing before the last	AI: not said, the last settled listing	65% from settlement history blended with transcripts
JP Morgan PaymentK 46¢	JP Morgan Payment: no appearance in 1 listing before the last	JP Morgan Payment: said, the last settled listing	59% from settlement history blended with transcripts

Kalshi+10 more words Last call · Aug 18, 2026

MDTMedtronic

MDT: times each word was said per appearance, oldest first, and the probability for the next one
Word	the last settled listing	Chance next call: probability
TariffK 74¢	Tariff: said, the last settled listing	94% from settlement history blended with transcripts
HeadwindK 62¢	Headwind: said, the last settled listing	91% from settlement history blended with transcripts
MiniMedK 78¢	MiniMed: said, the last settled listing	91% from settlement history blended with transcripts
Sphere-9K 64¢	Sphere-9: said, the last settled listing	86% from settlement history blended with transcripts
TailwindK 66¢	Tailwind: said, the last settled listing	82% from settlement history blended with transcripts
ChinaK 46¢	China: not said, the last settled listing	67% from settlement history blended with transcripts

Kalshi+5 more words Last call · Sep 1, 2026

MicrosoftMicrosoft Ignite keynote

Microsoft: times each word was said per appearance, oldest first, and the probability for the next one
Word	5 listings before the last	4 listings before the last	3 listings before the last	2 listings before the last	1 listing before the last	the last settled listing	Chance next time: probability
AzureK 84¢	Azure: no appearance in 5 listings before the last	Azure: no appearance in 4 listings before the last	Azure: said, 3 listings before the last	Azure: said, 2 listings before the last	Azure: said, 1 listing before the last	Azure: said, the last settled listing	81% from settlement history
CopilotK 86¢	Copilot: no appearance in 5 listings before the last	Copilot: no appearance in 4 listings before the last	Copilot: said, 3 listings before the last	Copilot: said, 2 listings before the last	Copilot: said, 1 listing before the last	Copilot: said, the last settled listing	81% from settlement history
OpenAIK 38¢	OpenAI: said, 5 listings before the last	OpenAI: said, 4 listings before the last	OpenAI: said, 3 listings before the last	OpenAI: said, 2 listings before the last	OpenAI: said, 1 listing before the last	OpenAI: said, the last settled listing	69% from settlement history
FrontierK 76¢	Frontier: no appearance in 5 listings before the last	Frontier: no appearance in 4 listings before the last	Frontier: no appearance in 3 listings before the last	Frontier: no appearance in 2 listings before the last	Frontier: said, 1 listing before the last	Frontier: said, the last settled listing	65% from settlement history
GitHubK 71¢	GitHub: no appearance in 5 listings before the last	GitHub: no appearance in 4 listings before the last	GitHub: no appearance in 3 listings before the last	GitHub: no appearance in 2 listings before the last	GitHub: said, 1 listing before the last	GitHub: said, the last settled listing	63% from settlement history
FoundryK 64¢	Foundry: no appearance in 5 listings before the last	Foundry: no appearance in 4 listings before the last	Foundry: no appearance in 3 listings before the last	Foundry: no appearance in 2 listings before the last	Foundry: no appearance in 1 listing before the last	Foundry: said, the last settled listing	– too little history for a probability

Kalshi+9 more words Last call · Jul 29, 2026