Thu, Nov 12, 2026

Mention markets on this date, across every hub.

4 eventsData updated Oct 25, 2026, 10:49 UTC· Source: Kalshi, Polymarket, transcripts

Listed words

K = Kalshi, P = Polymarket: mid prices, up to about 20 minutes old. Not advice.

4 events

8:00 am ET

YETI: times each word was said per appearance, oldest first, and the probability for the next one
Word	the last settled listing	Chance next call: probability
HeadwindK 70¢	Headwind: said, the last settled listing	84% from settlement history blended with transcripts
AIK 46¢	AI: said, the last settled listing	83% from settlement history blended with transcripts
GoBoxK 46¢	GoBox: said, the last settled listing	75% from settlement history blended with transcripts
RangerK 46¢	Ranger: said, the last settled listing	66% from settlement history blended with transcripts
TailwindK 46¢	Tailwind: said, the last settled listing	52% from settlement history blended with transcripts
China3+K 61¢	China: not said, the last settled listing	50% from settlement history blended with transcripts

AMATApplied Materials

AMAT: times each word was said per appearance, oldest first, and the probability for the next one
Word	the last settled listing	Chance next call: probability
ChinaK 75¢	China: said, the last settled listing	95% from settlement history blended with transcripts
Supply ChainK 78¢	Supply Chain: said, the last settled listing	92% from settlement history blended with transcripts
EPIC CenterK 75¢	EPIC Center: said, the last settled listing	86% from settlement history blended with transcripts
Hybrid BondingK 46¢	Hybrid Bonding: said, the last settled listing	83% from settlement history blended with transcripts
EpitaxyK 46¢	Epitaxy: said, the last settled listing	68% from settlement history blended with transcripts
AgentK 56¢	Agent: said, the last settled listing	66% from settlement history blended with transcripts

CBRSCerebras

CBRS: times each word was said per appearance, oldest first, and the probability for the next one
Word	the last settled listing	Chance next call: probability
OpenAIK 61¢	OpenAI: no appearance in the last settled listing	94% from transcript model
AWSK 81¢	AWS: no appearance in the last settled listing	93% from transcript model
DisaggregatedK 71¢	Disaggregated: said, the last settled listing	92% from settlement history blended with transcripts
AMDK 68¢	AMD: said, the last settled listing	82% from settlement history blended with transcripts
HeliosK 74¢	Helios: said, the last settled listing	79% from settlement history blended with transcripts
EuropeK 46¢	Europe: said, the last settled listing	77% from settlement history blended with transcripts

LUNRIntuitive Machines

LUNR: times each word was said per appearance, oldest first, and the probability for the next one
Word	the last settled listing	Chance next call: probability
Golden DomeK 70¢	Golden Dome: said, the last settled listing	80% from settlement history blended with transcripts
Moon BaseK 46¢	Moon Base: said, the last settled listing	73% from settlement history blended with transcripts
Goonhilly Earth StationK 46¢	Goonhilly Earth Station: said, the last settled listing	66% from settlement history blended with transcripts
SpaceXK 46¢	SpaceX: said, the last settled listing	64% from settlement history blended with transcripts
Artemis IVK 46¢	Artemis IV: said, the last settled listing	57% from settlement history blended with transcripts
Mars3+K 46¢	Mars: not said, the last settled listing	49% from settlement history blended with transcripts