Satya Nadella: Microsoft Ignite keynote, Nov 17, 2026

Tue, Nov 17KeynoteHistory onlyScheduledSatya Nadella

Kalshi lists 15 words for Satya Nadella’s keynote on Nov 17, 2026. Each word shows its history and Parrot’s p, a base rate from settlement history, not a forecast.

Updated

Markets

15 words listed
Listed words: result, and the probability published before the event
WordResultProbabilityMarket
Azure open81%n=4 from settlement history84¢ Kalshi
Copilot open81%n=4 from settlement history86¢ Kalshi
OpenAI open69%n=6 from settlement history38¢ Kalshi
Frontier open65%n=2 from settlement history76¢ Kalshi
GitHub open63%n=2 from settlement history71¢ Kalshi
Foundry open–n=1 too little history for a probability64¢ Kalshi
Cybersecurity open56%n=6 from settlement history52¢ Kalshi
Agent 365 open–new new word, no probability yet70¢ Kalshi
Autopilot open–new new word, no probability yet44¢ Kalshi
Cowork open–new new word, no probability yet52¢ Kalshi
Mistral open–new new word, no probability yet22¢ Kalshi
Scout open–new new word, no probability yet22¢ Kalshi
Sovereign Cloud open–new new word, no probability yet44¢ Kalshi
NVIDIA open29%n=3 from settlement history36¢ Kalshi
Anthropic / Claude open–n=1 too little history for a probability36¢ Kalshi

Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 23:45 UTC.

Transcript

Transcript pending. Scheduled for Tue, Nov 17. Expected around Nov 18, 2026 from Microsoft official YouTube upload (human captions); speaker turns labelled automatically. Transcripts from this source are added when our worker runs, so there is no set time.

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/appearances/satya-nadella:2026-11-17:keynote · words: /api/v1/brief?appearance=satya-nadella:2026-11-17:keynote · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP