Home Depot (HD)
As of Oct 23, 2026, Kalshi and Polymarket have settled 64 word markets on Home Depot’s earnings calls since 2025, on 28 different words. Next call: Nov 17, 2026 (14 words listed).
| Word | Q3’24Nov '24 | Q4’24Feb '25 | Q1’25May '25 | Q2’25Aug '25 | Q3’25year ago | Q4’26Feb '26 | Q1’27May '26 | Q2’27last call | Trend | Last 8 | Scripted | All-time | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tariff | 4 times: Tariff, Q3’24 Nov '24, counts as said | 4 times: Tariff, Q4’24 Feb '25, counts as said | 1 time: Tariff, Q1’25 May '25, counts as said | 4 times: Tariff, Q2’25 Aug '25, counts as said | 2 times: Tariff, Q3’25 Nov '25, counts as said | 5 times: Tariff, Q4’26 Feb '26, counts as said | 5 times: Tariff, Q1’27 May '26, counts as said | 14 times: Tariff, Q2’27 Aug '26, counts as said | rising | 8/8100% | 1/812% | 17/8320% | 94%n=4+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | 73¢ Kalshi |
| Innovation | 4 times: Innovation, Q3’24 Nov '24, counts as said | 1 time: Innovation, Q4’24 Feb '25, counts as said | 1 time: Innovation, Q1’25 May '25, counts as said | 2 times: Innovation, Q2’25 Aug '25, counts as said | 5 times: Innovation, Q3’25 Nov '25, counts as said | 1 time: Innovation, Q4’26 Feb '26, counts as said | 2 times: Innovation, Q1’27 May '26, counts as said | 4 times: Innovation, Q2’27 Aug '26, counts as said | steady | 8/8100% | 8/8100% | 66/8380% | 89%n=4+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | 61¢ Kalshi |
| Weather | 13 times: Weather, Q3’24 Nov '24, counts as said | 2 times: Weather, Q4’24 Feb '25, counts as said | 6 times: Weather, Q1’25 May '25, counts as said | 4 times: Weather, Q2’25 Aug '25, counts as said | 5 times: Weather, Q3’25 Nov '25, counts as said | 0 times: Weather, Q4’26 Feb '26 | 11 times: Weather, Q1’27 May '26, counts as said | 2 times: Weather, Q2’27 Aug '26, counts as said | falling | 7/888% | 3/838% | 65/8378% | 85%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | 46¢ Kalshi |
| Mexico | 2 times: Mexico, Q3’24 Nov '24, counts as said | 2 times: Mexico, Q4’24 Feb '25, counts as said | 2 times: Mexico, Q1’25 May '25, counts as said | 2 times: Mexico, Q2’25 Aug '25, counts as said | 2 times: Mexico, Q3’25 Nov '25, counts as said | 1 time: Mexico, Q4’26 Feb '26, counts as said | 1 time: Mexico, Q1’27 May '26, counts as said | 4 times: Mexico, Q2’27 Aug '26, counts as said | steady | 8/8100% | 8/8100% | 73/8388% | 84%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | 72¢ Kalshi |
| Volatility | 0 times: Volatility, Q3’24 Nov '24 | 0 times: Volatility, Q4’24 Feb '25 | 1 time: Volatility, Q1’25 May '25, counts as said | 1 time: Volatility, Q2’25 Aug '25, counts as said | 0 times: Volatility, Q3’25 Nov '25 | 1 time: Volatility, Q4’26 Feb '26, counts as said | 0 times: Volatility, Q1’27 May '26 | 4 times: Volatility, Q2’27 Aug '26, counts as said | rising | 4/850% | 2/825% | 11/8313% | 61%n=4+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | 46¢ Kalshi |
| Lumber | 2 times: Lumber, Q3’24 Nov '24, counts as said | 4 times: Lumber, Q4’24 Feb '25, counts as said | 2 times: Lumber, Q1’25 May '25, counts as said | 4 times: Lumber, Q2’25 Aug '25, counts as said | 0 times: Lumber, Q3’25 Nov '25 | 1 time: Lumber, Q4’26 Feb '26, counts as said | 0 times: Lumber, Q1’27 May '26 | 1 time: Lumber, Q2’27 Aug '26, counts as said | falling | 6/875% | 5/862% | 80/8396% | 54%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | 46¢ Kalshi |
| Synergy | 0 times: Synergy, Q3’24 Nov '24 | 0 times: Synergy, Q4’24 Feb '25 | 0 times: Synergy, Q1’25 May '25 | 2 times: Synergy, Q2’25 Aug '25, counts as said | 4 times: Synergy, Q3’25 Nov '25, counts as said | 2 times: Synergy, Q4’26 Feb '26, counts as said | 0 times: Synergy, Q1’27 May '26 | 0 times: Synergy, Q2’27 Aug '26 | rising | 3/838% | 1/812% | 12/8314% | 47%n=4+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | 46¢ Kalshi |
| Inflation | 0 times: Inflation, Q3’24 Nov '24 | 2 times: Inflation, Q4’24 Feb '25, counts as said | 3 times: Inflation, Q1’25 May '25, counts as said | 1 time: Inflation, Q2’25 Aug '25, counts as said | 0 times: Inflation, Q3’25 Nov '25 | 1 time: Inflation, Q4’26 Feb '26, counts as said | 0 times: Inflation, Q1’27 May '26 | 0 times: Inflation, Q2’27 Aug '26 | falling | 4/850% | 4/850% | 59/8371% | 34%n=4+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | 46¢ Kalshi |
| Headwind | 0 times: Headwind, Q3’24 Nov '24 | 0 times: Headwind, Q4’24 Feb '25 | 1 time: Headwind, Q1’25 May '25, counts as said | 2 times: Headwind, Q2’25 Aug '25, counts as said | 0 times: Headwind, Q3’25 Nov '25 | 0 times: Headwind, Q4’26 Feb '26 | 1 time: Headwind, Q1’27 May '26, counts as said | 0 times: Headwind, Q2’27 Aug '26 | steady | 3/838% | 0/80% | 28/8334% | 29%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | 46¢ Kalshi |
| Revenue | 0 times: Revenue, Q3’24 Nov '24 | 0 times: Revenue, Q4’24 Feb '25 | 0 times: Revenue, Q1’25 May '25 | 1 time: Revenue, Q2’25 Aug '25, counts as said | 0 times: Revenue, Q3’25 Nov '25 | 2 times: Revenue, Q4’26 Feb '26, counts as said | 0 times: Revenue, Q1’27 May '26 | 0 times: Revenue, Q2’27 Aug '26 | steady | 2/825% | 1/812% | 15/8318% | 28%n=4+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | 46¢ Kalshi |
| Tailwind | 0 times: Tailwind, Q3’24 Nov '24 | 0 times: Tailwind, Q4’24 Feb '25 | 0 times: Tailwind, Q1’25 May '25 | 1 time: Tailwind, Q2’25 Aug '25, counts as said | 0 times: Tailwind, Q3’25 Nov '25 | 0 times: Tailwind, Q4’26 Feb '26 | 1 time: Tailwind, Q1’27 May '26, counts as said | 0 times: Tailwind, Q2’27 Aug '26 | steady | 2/825% | 0/80% | 20/8324% | 27%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | 46¢ Kalshi |
| Competition | 0 times: Competition, Q3’24 Nov '24 | 0 times: Competition, Q4’24 Feb '25 | 1 time: Competition, Q1’25 May '25, counts as said | 0 times: Competition, Q2’25 Aug '25 | 0 times: Competition, Q3’25 Nov '25 | 0 times: Competition, Q4’26 Feb '26 | 1 time: Competition, Q1’27 May '26, counts as said | 0 times: Competition, Q2’27 Aug '26 | steady | 2/825% | 0/80% | 10/8312% | 23%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | 46¢ Kalshi |
| E-Commerce | 0 times: E-Commerce, Q3’24 Nov '24 | 0 times: E-Commerce, Q4’24 Feb '25 | 0 times: E-Commerce, Q1’25 May '25 | 2 times: E-Commerce, Q2’25 Aug '25, counts as said | 0 times: E-Commerce, Q3’25 Nov '25 | 0 times: E-Commerce, Q4’26 Feb '26 | 0 times: E-Commerce, Q1’27 May '26 | 0 times: E-Commerce, Q2’27 Aug '26 | steady | 1/812% | 0/80% | 9/8311% | 15%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | 48¢ Kalshi |
| Shutdown / Shut Down | 0 times: Shutdown / Shut Down, Q3’24 Nov '24 | 0 times: Shutdown / Shut Down, Q4’24 Feb '25 | 0 times: Shutdown / Shut Down, Q1’25 May '25 | 0 times: Shutdown / Shut Down, Q2’25 Aug '25 | 0 times: Shutdown / Shut Down, Q3’25 Nov '25 | 0 times: Shutdown / Shut Down, Q4’26 Feb '26 | 0 times: Shutdown / Shut Down, Q1’27 May '26 | 0 times: Shutdown / Shut Down, Q2’27 Aug '26 | steady | 0/80% | 0/80% | 4/835% | 11%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | 46¢ Kalshi |
- times said on that call
- counted as said (ring)
- no call
- probability next time, with n
- Select a word or a cell for its quotes
What the columns mean
- Last N
- of the appearances shown, how many counted as said
- Trend
- how the count moved over these calls
- Scripted
- calls of the last 8 where it was said in the prepared remarks
- All-time
- every call on file
- Probability
- the calibrated probability for the next listing; n is the settled observations behind it when it was computed, '+tx' adds the transcripts, 'new' means too little history
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 22, 2026 23:54 UTC.
Every word
1–14 of 14, most settled first| Word | Q3’24Nov '24 | Q4’24Feb '25 | Q1’25May '25 | Q2’25Aug '25 | Q3’25Nov '25 | Q4’26Feb '26 | Q1’27May '26 | Q2’27last call | Trend | Last 8 | Scripted | All-time | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Competition / Competitor | 1 time: Competition / Competitor, Q3’24 Nov '24, counts as said | 0 times: Competition / Competitor, Q4’24 Feb '25 | 2 times: Competition / Competitor, Q1’25 May '25, counts as said | 0 times: Competition / Competitor, Q2’25 Aug '25 | 0 times: Competition / Competitor, Q3’25 Nov '25 | 0 times: Competition / Competitor, Q4’26 Feb '26 | 1 time: Competition / Competitor, Q1’27 May '26, counts as said | 0 times: Competition / Competitor, Q2’27 Aug '26 | falling | 3/838% | 1/812% | 28/8334% | 30%n=3+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts |
| E-commerce / Ecommerce | 0 times: E-commerce / Ecommerce, Q3’24 Nov '24 | 0 times: E-commerce / Ecommerce, Q4’24 Feb '25 | 0 times: E-commerce / Ecommerce, Q1’25 May '25 | 2 times: E-commerce / Ecommerce, Q2’25 Aug '25, counts as said | 0 times: E-commerce / Ecommerce, Q3’25 Nov '25 | 0 times: E-commerce / Ecommerce, Q4’26 Feb '26 | 0 times: E-commerce / Ecommerce, Q1’27 May '26 | 0 times: E-commerce / Ecommerce, Q2’27 Aug '26 | steady | 1/812% | 0/80% | 9/8311% | 14%n=3+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | 1 time: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Q3’24 Nov '24, counts as said | 3 times: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Q4’24 Feb '25, counts as said | 2 times: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Q1’25 May '25, counts as said | 2 times: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Q2’25 Aug '25, counts as said | 1 time: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Q3’25 Nov '25, counts as said | 3 times: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Q4’26 Feb '26, counts as said | 2 times: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Q1’27 May '26, counts as said | 1 time: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Q2’27 Aug '26, counts as said | steady | 8/8100% | 6/875% | 9/8311% | 82%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts |
| Black Friday | 1 time: Black Friday, Q3’24 Nov '24, counts as said | 1 time: Black Friday, Q4’24 Feb '25, counts as said | 1 time: Black Friday, Q1’25 May '25, counts as said | 0 times: Black Friday, Q2’25 Aug '25 | 2 times: Black Friday, Q3’25 Nov '25, counts as said | 3 times: Black Friday, Q4’26 Feb '26, counts as said | 1 time: Black Friday, Q1’27 May '26, counts as said | 0 times: Black Friday, Q2’27 Aug '26 | steady | 6/875% | 6/875% | 43/8352% | 64%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts |
| ICE / Border | 0 times: ICE / Border, Q3’24 Nov '24 | 0 times: ICE / Border, Q4’24 Feb '25 | 0 times: ICE / Border, Q1’25 May '25 | 0 times: ICE / Border, Q2’25 Aug '25 | 1 time: ICE / Border, Q3’25 Nov '25, counts as said | 1 time: ICE / Border, Q4’26 Feb '26, counts as said | 0 times: ICE / Border, Q1’27 May '26 | 0 times: ICE / Border, Q2’27 Aug '26 | steady | 2/825% | 1/812% | 11/8313% | 40%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts |
| Build | 2 times: Build, Q3’24 Nov '24, counts as said | 5 times: Build, Q4’24 Feb '25, counts as said | 6 times: Build, Q1’25 May '25, counts as said | 2 times: Build, Q2’25 Aug '25, counts as said | 2 times: Build, Q3’25 Nov '25, counts as said | 3 times: Build, Q4’26 Feb '26, counts as said | 5 times: Build, Q1’27 May '26, counts as said | 3 times: Build, Q2’27 Aug '26, counts as said | steady | 8/8100% | 4/850% | 66/8380% | 89%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts |
| Customer20+ times | 42 times: Customer 20+ times, Q3’24 Nov '24, counts as said | 30 times: Customer 20+ times, Q4’24 Feb '25, counts as said | 51 times: Customer 20+ times, Q1’25 May '25, counts as said | 50 times: Customer 20+ times, Q2’25 Aug '25, counts as said | 35 times: Customer 20+ times, Q3’25 Nov '25, counts as said | 56 times: Customer 20+ times, Q4’26 Feb '26, counts as said | 50 times: Customer 20+ times, Q1’27 May '26, counts as said | 39 times: Customer 20+ times, Q2’27 Aug '26, counts as said | steady | 8/8100% | 8/8100% | 80/8396% | 84%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts |
| Delivery | 10 times: Delivery, Q3’24 Nov '24, counts as said | 22 times: Delivery, Q4’24 Feb '25, counts as said | 10 times: Delivery, Q1’25 May '25, counts as said | 31 times: Delivery, Q2’25 Aug '25, counts as said | 4 times: Delivery, Q3’25 Nov '25, counts as said | 18 times: Delivery, Q4’26 Feb '26, counts as said | 18 times: Delivery, Q1’27 May '26, counts as said | 25 times: Delivery, Q2’27 Aug '26, counts as said | steady | 8/8100% | 8/8100% | 54/8365% | 97%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts |
| Project10+ times | 27 times: Project 10+ times, Q3’24 Nov '24, counts as said | 14 times: Project 10+ times, Q4’24 Feb '25, counts as said | 22 times: Project 10+ times, Q1’25 May '25, counts as said | 31 times: Project 10+ times, Q2’25 Aug '25, counts as said | 20 times: Project 10+ times, Q3’25 Nov '25, counts as said | 16 times: Project 10+ times, Q4’26 Feb '26, counts as said | 19 times: Project 10+ times, Q1’27 May '26, counts as said | 10 times: Project 10+ times, Q2’27 Aug '26, counts as said | falling | 8/8100% | 3/838% | 27/8333% | 80%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts |
| Quarterevery call 15+ times | 81 times: Quarter 15+ times, Q3’24 Nov '24, counts as said | 50 times: Quarter 15+ times, Q4’24 Feb '25, counts as said | 76 times: Quarter 15+ times, Q1’25 May '25, counts as said | 56 times: Quarter 15+ times, Q2’25 Aug '25, counts as said | 73 times: Quarter 15+ times, Q3’25 Nov '25, counts as said | 65 times: Quarter 15+ times, Q4’26 Feb '26, counts as said | 71 times: Quarter 15+ times, Q1’27 May '26, counts as said | 80 times: Quarter 15+ times, Q2’27 Aug '26, counts as said | steady | 8/8100% | 8/8100% | 83/83100% | 91%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts |
| Relationship2+ times | 2 times: Relationship 2+ times, Q3’24 Nov '24, counts as said | 7 times: Relationship 2+ times, Q4’24 Feb '25, counts as said | 2 times: Relationship 2+ times, Q1’25 May '25, counts as said | 1 time: Relationship 2+ times, Q2’25 Aug '25, below the threshold | 4 times: Relationship 2+ times, Q3’25 Nov '25, counts as said | 2 times: Relationship 2+ times, Q4’26 Feb '26, counts as said | 3 times: Relationship 2+ times, Q1’27 May '26, counts as said | 3 times: Relationship 2+ times, Q2’27 Aug '26, counts as said | steady | 7/888% | 4/850% | 22/8327% | 76%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts |
| Storm | 3 times: Storm, Q3’24 Nov '24, counts as said | 0 times: Storm, Q4’24 Feb '25 | 1 time: Storm, Q1’25 May '25, counts as said | 0 times: Storm, Q2’25 Aug '25 | 26 times: Storm, Q3’25 Nov '25, counts as said | 16 times: Storm, Q4’26 Feb '26, counts as said | 4 times: Storm, Q1’27 May '26, counts as said | 1 time: Storm, Q2’27 Aug '26, counts as said | rising | 6/875% | 4/850% | 47/8357% | 94%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts |
| Holiday | 1 time: Holiday, Q3’24 Nov '24, counts as said | 3 times: Holiday, Q4’24 Feb '25, counts as said | 0 times: Holiday, Q1’25 May '25 | 2 times: Holiday, Q2’25 Aug '25, counts as said | 2 times: Holiday, Q3’25 Nov '25, counts as said | 0 times: Holiday, Q4’26 Feb '26 | 0 times: Holiday, Q1’27 May '26 | 0 times: Holiday, Q2’27 Aug '26 | falling | 4/850% | 4/850% | 50/8360% | 33%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts |
| Shutdown | 0 times: Shutdown, Q3’24 Nov '24 | 0 times: Shutdown, Q4’24 Feb '25 | 0 times: Shutdown, Q1’25 May '25 | 0 times: Shutdown, Q2’25 Aug '25 | 0 times: Shutdown, Q3’25 Nov '25 | 0 times: Shutdown, Q4’26 Feb '26 | 0 times: Shutdown, Q1’27 May '26 | 0 times: Shutdown, Q2’27 Aug '26 | steady | 0/80% | 0/80% | 4/835% | 12%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts |
- times said on that call
- counted as said (ring)
- no call
- probability next time, with n
- Select a word or a cell for its quotes
What the columns mean
- Last N
- of the appearances shown, how many counted as said
- Trend
- how the count moved over these calls
- Scripted
- calls of the last 8 where it was said in the prepared remarks
- All-time
- every call on file
- Probability
- the calibrated probability for the next listing; n is the settled observations behind it when it was computed, '+tx' adds the transcripts, 'new' means too little history
Appearances and settled record
latest 12Our transcript counts matched how 64 of 64 settled words resolved (100.0%). How we check.
| Date | Appearance | Text | Words | Settled | Our count agreed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 18, 2026 | Earnings call FY27 Q2 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 30 | 21 yes · 9 no | 30/30 (100%) |
| May 19, 2026 | Earnings call FY27 Q1 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 12 | 5 yes · 7 no | 12/12 (100%) |
| Feb 24, 2026 | Earnings call FY26 Q4 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 12 | 8 yes · 4 no | 12/12 (100%) |
| Nov 18, 2025 | Earnings call FY25 Q3 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 10 | 4 yes · 6 no | 10/10 (100%) |
| Aug 19, 2025 | Earnings call FY25 Q2 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 0 | – | – |
| May 20, 2025 | Earnings call FY25 Q1 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 0 | – | – |
| Feb 25, 2025 | Earnings call FY24 Q4 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 0 | – | – |
| Nov 12, 2024 | Earnings call FY24 Q3 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 0 | – | – |
| Aug 13, 2024 | Earnings call FY24 Q2 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 0 | – | – |
| May 14, 2024 | Earnings call FY24 Q1 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 0 | – | – |
| Feb 20, 2024 | Earnings call FY23 Q4 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 0 | – | – |
| Nov 14, 2023 | Earnings call FY23 Q3 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 0 | – | – |
Citeparrot.markets, “Home Depot (HD): earnings call word history”, as of Oct 23, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/HD (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/entity/home-depot · words: /api/v1/history?entity=home-depot · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP