Will Home Depot say “Tariff”?

Home Depot said “Tariff” 14 times on its Aug 18, 2026 call (FY27 Q2), and on each of its last 8 calls: 4, 4, 1, 4, 2, 5, 5, 14 times. As of Oct 24, 2026, Home Depot said “Tariff” on 4 of 4 calls with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Nov 18, 2025 (100%), most recently on Aug 18, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 94% (n=4, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.

94%from settlement history blended with transcripts · n=4Next: Earnings call, Nov 17, 2026 · counts: company speakers + operator
Last 10
4/4Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes yes
Streak
said the last 4 times
Counts
company speakers + operator
Market
62¢ Kalshi (may be delayed)
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Home Depot

Tariff

Probability
94% · n=4
Settled
4/4 (100%)
Last calls
said in 8 of 8

Next listing counts: company speakers + operator

FY27 Q2 earnings call, Aug 18, 2026 · said 14 times (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator

14 counted (2 in prepared remarks, 12 in Q&A); 6 by speakers the rule does not count.

Richard Mc Phailcompanyprepared · 14:37Hear it 14:32, Richard Mc Phail In transcript

…in June, and +2.2% in July. In the second quarter, we received IEEPA tariff refunds, which reduced our cost of goods sold by $685 million.

Richard Mc Phailcompanyprepared · 15:14Hear it 15:08, Richard Mc Phail In transcript

…last year, which was primarily driven by the benefit from the IEEPA tariff refund, largely offset by incremental cost pressures related to fuel, energy, and…

Every match in the transcript

FY27 Q1 earnings call, May 19, 2026 · said 5 times (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator

5 counted (0 in prepared remarks, 5 in Q&A); 2 by speakers the rule does not count.

Richard Mc PhailcompanyqaIn transcript

…last year on the button, despite the fact that we had all tariff headwinds coming at us. Yes, there's probably a little bit more uncertainty…

Richard Mc PhailcompanyqaIn transcript

…stand today, we could see potential cost pressures building in the form of fuel prices and other commodity input costs. New tariffs have been introduced.

Every match in the transcript

FY26 Q4 earnings call, Feb 24, 2026 · said 5 times (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator

5 counted (0 in prepared remarks, 5 in Q&A); 1 by speakers the rule does not count.

Ted DeckercompanyqaIn transcript

…higher level, and then Billy can talk a little more specifically about tariffs. I mean, we very purposefully, obviously, have a range, and we maintain…

Every match in the transcript

FY25 Q3 earnings call, Nov 18, 2025 · said 2 times (counts)

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FY25 Q2 earnings call, Aug 19, 2025 · said 4 times (counts)

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FY25 Q1 earnings call, May 20, 2025 · said 1 time (counts)

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FY24 Q4 earnings call, Feb 25, 2025 · said 4 times (counts)

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FY24 Q3 earnings call, Nov 12, 2024 · said 4 times (counts)

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Every settled listing

newest first · 5 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Aug 18, 2026TariffPolymarketYes20
Aug 18, 2026TariffKalshiYes14
May 19, 2026TariffKalshiYes5
Feb 24, 2026TariffKalshiYes5
Nov 18, 2025TariffKalshiYes2

Questions

How many times did Home Depot say “Tariff” on its last earnings call?
Home Depot said “Tariff” 14 times on its Aug 18, 2026 call (FY27 Q2), and on each of its last 8 calls: 4, 4, 1, 4, 2, 5, 5, 14 times.
How often does Home Depot say “Tariff”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Home Depot said “Tariff” on 4 of 4 calls with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Nov 18, 2025 (100%), most recently on Aug 18, 2026.
What is the probability Home Depot says “Tariff” next time?
94%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=4). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: company speakers + operator.

Cite parrot.markets, “Home Depot: ‘Tariff’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/HD/words/tariff (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=home-depot&word=tariff · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=home-depot&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP