Will Home Depot say “Lumber”?

Home Depot said “Lumber” 1 time on its Aug 18, 2026 call (FY27 Q2), and on 6 of its last 8 calls: 2, 4, 2, 4, 0, 1, 0, 1 times. As of Oct 23, 2026, Home Depot said “Lumber” on 1 of 2 calls with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since May 19, 2026 (50%), most recently on Aug 18, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 54% (n=2, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.

54%from settlement history blended with transcripts · n=2Next: Earnings call, Nov 17, 2026 · counts: company speakers + operator
Last 10
1/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes
Streak
said last time
Counts
company speakers + operator
Market
46¢ Kalshi (may be delayed)
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Home Depot

Lumber

Probability
54% · n=2
Settled
1/2 (50%)
Last calls
said in 6 of 8

Next listing counts: company speakers + operator

FY27 Q2 earnings call, Aug 18, 2026 · said 1 time (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator

1 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).

Billy Bastekcompanyprepared · 9:41Hear it 9:35, Billy Bastek In transcript

…we saw strength across many pro-heavy categories like portable power, decking, dimensional lumber, pipe and fittings, fastener, hand tools, and concrete. Turning to total company…

FY27 Q1 earnings call, May 19, 2026 · not said

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FY26 Q4 earnings call, Feb 24, 2026 · said 1 time (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)

1 counted (0 in prepared remarks, 1 in Q&A).

Ted DeckercompanyqaIn transcript

…track live a bulky delivery, whether that's a flatbed rolling down with lumber to a job site or an appliance, showing up at the home,…

FY25 Q3 earnings call, Nov 18, 2025 · not said

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FY25 Q2 earnings call, Aug 19, 2025 · said 4 times (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)

4 counted (3 in prepared remarks, 1 in Q&A).

Billy BastekcompanypreparedIn transcript

…greater mix of higher ticket items, inflation from core commodity categories, including lumber and copper, and a modest decrease in promotional activity relative to prior…

Billy BastekcompanypreparedIn transcript

…In the second quarter, we saw strength across many pro-heavy categories like lumber, concrete, and decking. And in DIY, we saw strength across our seasonal…

Every match in the transcript

FY25 Q1 earnings call, May 20, 2025 · said 2 times (counts)

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FY24 Q4 earnings call, Feb 25, 2025 · said 4 times (counts)

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FY24 Q3 earnings call, Nov 12, 2024 · said 2 times (counts)

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Every settled listing

newest first · 3 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Aug 18, 2026LumberPolymarketYes1
Aug 18, 2026LumberKalshiYes1
May 19, 2026LumberKalshiNo0

Questions

How many times did Home Depot say “Lumber” on its last earnings call?
Home Depot said “Lumber” 1 time on its Aug 18, 2026 call (FY27 Q2), and on 6 of its last 8 calls: 2, 4, 2, 4, 0, 1, 0, 1 times.
How often does Home Depot say “Lumber”?
As of Oct 23, 2026, Home Depot said “Lumber” on 1 of 2 calls with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since May 19, 2026 (50%), most recently on Aug 18, 2026.
What is the probability Home Depot says “Lumber” next time?
54%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: company speakers + operator.

Cite parrot.markets, “Home Depot: ‘Lumber’ mention history”, as of Oct 23, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/HD/words/lumber (CC BY 4.0)

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