Will Medtronic say “China”?
Medtronic did not say “China” on its Sep 1, 2026 call (FY27 Q1); it said it on 7 of its last 8 calls: 1, 5, 2, 2, 3, 3, 6, 0 times. As of Oct 24, 2026, Medtronic did not say “China” on the only call with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Sep 1, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 67% (n=1, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- company speakers + operator
- Market
- 46¢ Kalshi (may be delayed)
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Medtronic
China
- Probability
- 67% · n=1
- Settled
- 0/1 (0%)
- Last calls
- said in 7 of 8
Next listing counts: company speakers + operator
Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)
6 counted (0 in prepared remarks, 6 in Q&A); 3 by speakers the rule does not count.
Thanks for the question, Josh. We haven't gotten a China question in a while. We still view China as a growth market. When we think…
…see. Profitability is also strong. For years, there's been this misconception that China's not profitable. Prior to VBP, I admit it was even more profitable,…
Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)
3 counted (3 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).
…product developments. Neurovascular has been challenged over the last quarters due to China VBP and to the recall of Vantage, both of which are now…
…strongest performance we've delivered since fiscal year 2019, excluding COVID comps. In China, we delivered low single-digit growth while navigating ongoing but manageable volume-based procurement…
Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)
3 counted (3 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).
…In neurovascular, growth will improve as we anniversary the vast majority of China VBP in January, also expect an increasing growth contribution from the NeuroGard…
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 1, 2026 | China |  Kalshi | No | 0 |
Questions
- How many times did Medtronic say “China” on its last earnings call?
- Medtronic did not say “China” on its Sep 1, 2026 call (FY27 Q1); it said it on 7 of its last 8 calls: 1, 5, 2, 2, 3, 3, 6, 0 times.
- How often does Medtronic say “China”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Medtronic did not say “China” on the only call with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Sep 1, 2026.
- What is the probability Medtronic says “China” next time?
- 67%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: company speakers + operator.
Cite parrot.markets, “Medtronic: ‘China’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/MDT/words/china (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=medtronic&word=china · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=medtronic&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP