Medtronic (MDT)
As of Oct 23, 2026, Kalshi has settled 11 word markets on Medtronic’s earnings calls since 2026, on 11 different words. Next call: Nov 17, 2026 (11 words listed).
| Word | Q2’25Nov '24 | Q3’25Feb '25 | Q4’25May '25 | Q1’26Aug '25 | Q2’26year ago | Q3’26Feb '26 | Q4’26Jun '26 | Q1’27last call | Trend | Last 8 | Scripted | All-time | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tariff | 1 time: Tariff, Q2’25 Nov '24, counts as said | 0 times: Tariff, Q3’25 Feb '25 | 14 times: Tariff, Q4’25 May '25, counts as said | 5 times: Tariff, Q1’26 Aug '25, counts as said | 18 times: Tariff, Q2’26 Nov '25, counts as said | 10 times: Tariff, Q3’26 Feb '26, counts as said | 19 times: Tariff, Q4’26 Jun '26, counts as said | 5 times: Tariff, Q1’27 Sep '26, counts as said | rising | 7/888% | 6/875% | 15/7520% | 94%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | 62¢ Kalshi |
| Headwind | 5 times: Headwind, Q2’25 Nov '24, counts as said | 2 times: Headwind, Q3’25 Feb '25, counts as said | 7 times: Headwind, Q4’25 May '25, counts as said | 4 times: Headwind, Q1’26 Aug '25, counts as said | 4 times: Headwind, Q2’26 Nov '25, counts as said | 2 times: Headwind, Q3’26 Feb '26, counts as said | 8 times: Headwind, Q4’26 Jun '26, counts as said | 5 times: Headwind, Q1’27 Sep '26, counts as said | steady | 8/8100% | 7/888% | 64/7585% | 91%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | 72¢ Kalshi |
| MiniMed | 0 times: MiniMed, Q2’25 Nov '24 | 1 time: MiniMed, Q3’25 Feb '25, counts as said | 2 times: MiniMed, Q4’25 May '25, counts as said | 5 times: MiniMed, Q1’26 Aug '25, counts as said | 4 times: MiniMed, Q2’26 Nov '25, counts as said | 4 times: MiniMed, Q3’26 Feb '26, counts as said | 16 times: MiniMed, Q4’26 Jun '26, counts as said | 3 times: MiniMed, Q1’27 Sep '26, counts as said | rising | 7/888% | 7/888% | 55/7573% | 91%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | 56¢ Kalshi |
| Sphere-9 | 4 times: Sphere-9, Q2’25 Nov '24, counts as said | 0 times: Sphere-9, Q3’25 Feb '25 | 4 times: Sphere-9, Q4’25 May '25, counts as said | 2 times: Sphere-9, Q1’26 Aug '25, counts as said | 1 time: Sphere-9, Q2’26 Nov '25, counts as said | 7 times: Sphere-9, Q3’26 Feb '26, counts as said | 2 times: Sphere-9, Q4’26 Jun '26, counts as said | 4 times: Sphere-9, Q1’27 Sep '26, counts as said | rising | 7/888% | 7/888% | 14/7519% | 86%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | 74¢ Kalshi |
| Tailwind | 3 times: Tailwind, Q2’25 Nov '24, counts as said | 0 times: Tailwind, Q3’25 Feb '25 | 9 times: Tailwind, Q4’25 May '25, counts as said | 3 times: Tailwind, Q1’26 Aug '25, counts as said | 4 times: Tailwind, Q2’26 Nov '25, counts as said | 1 time: Tailwind, Q3’26 Feb '26, counts as said | 4 times: Tailwind, Q4’26 Jun '26, counts as said | 1 time: Tailwind, Q1’27 Sep '26, counts as said | falling | 7/888% | 6/875% | 38/7551% | 82%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | 63¢ Kalshi |
| China | 1 time: China, Q2’25 Nov '24, counts as said | 5 times: China, Q3’25 Feb '25, counts as said | 2 times: China, Q4’25 May '25, counts as said | 2 times: China, Q1’26 Aug '25, counts as said | 3 times: China, Q2’26 Nov '25, counts as said | 3 times: China, Q3’26 Feb '26, counts as said | 6 times: China, Q4’26 Jun '26, counts as said | 0 times: China, Q1’27 Sep '26 | steady | 7/888% | 5/862% | 72/7596% | 67%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | 46¢ Kalshi |
| PulseSelect | 10 times: PulseSelect, Q2’25 Nov '24, counts as said | 7 times: PulseSelect, Q3’25 Feb '25, counts as said | 3 times: PulseSelect, Q4’25 May '25, counts as said | 4 times: PulseSelect, Q1’26 Aug '25, counts as said | 0 times: PulseSelect, Q2’26 Nov '25 | 0 times: PulseSelect, Q3’26 Feb '26 | 0 times: PulseSelect, Q4’26 Jun '26 | 1 time: PulseSelect, Q1’27 Sep '26, counts as said | falling | 5/862% | 4/850% | 15/7520% | 52%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | 46¢ Kalshi |
| Simplera | 3 times: Simplera, Q2’25 Nov '24, counts as said | 3 times: Simplera, Q3’25 Feb '25, counts as said | 7 times: Simplera, Q4’25 May '25, counts as said | 10 times: Simplera, Q1’26 Aug '25, counts as said | 2 times: Simplera, Q2’26 Nov '25, counts as said | 3 times: Simplera, Q3’26 Feb '26, counts as said | 0 times: Simplera, Q4’26 Jun '26 | 0 times: Simplera, Q1’27 Sep '26 | falling | 6/875% | 6/875% | 15/7520% | 49%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | 46¢ Kalshi |
| Security / Cybersecurity | 2 times: Security / Cybersecurity, Q2’25 Nov '24, counts as said | 0 times: Security / Cybersecurity, Q3’25 Feb '25 | 0 times: Security / Cybersecurity, Q4’25 May '25 | 3 times: Security / Cybersecurity, Q1’26 Aug '25, counts as said | 2 times: Security / Cybersecurity, Q2’26 Nov '25, counts as said | 0 times: Security / Cybersecurity, Q3’26 Feb '26 | 0 times: Security / Cybersecurity, Q4’26 Jun '26 | 0 times: Security / Cybersecurity, Q1’27 Sep '26 | falling | 3/838% | 0/80% | 25/7533% | 30%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | 44¢ Kalshi |
| Abbott | 1 time: Abbott, Q2’25 Nov '24, counts as said | 1 time: Abbott, Q3’25 Feb '25, counts as said | 3 times: Abbott, Q4’25 May '25, counts as said | 2 times: Abbott, Q1’26 Aug '25, counts as said | 0 times: Abbott, Q2’26 Nov '25 | 0 times: Abbott, Q3’26 Feb '26 | 0 times: Abbott, Q4’26 Jun '26 | 0 times: Abbott, Q1’27 Sep '26 | falling | 4/850% | 4/850% | 7/759% | 21%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | 45¢ Kalshi |
| GLP-1 | 0 times: GLP-1, Q2’25 Nov '24 | 0 times: GLP-1, Q3’25 Feb '25 | 0 times: GLP-1, Q4’25 May '25 | 0 times: GLP-1, Q1’26 Aug '25 | 0 times: GLP-1, Q2’26 Nov '25 | 0 times: GLP-1, Q3’26 Feb '26 | 0 times: GLP-1, Q4’26 Jun '26 | 0 times: GLP-1, Q1’27 Sep '26 | steady | 0/80% | 0/80% | 2/753% | 12%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | 45¢ Kalshi |
- times said on that call
- counted as said (ring)
- no call
- probability next time, with n
- Select a word or a cell for its quotes
What the columns mean
- Last N
- of the appearances shown, how many counted as said
- Trend
- how the count moved over these calls
- Scripted
- calls of the last 8 where it was said in the prepared remarks
- All-time
- every call on file
- Probability
- the calibrated probability for the next listing; n is the settled observations behind it when it was computed, '+tx' adds the transcripts, 'new' means too little history
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 23, 2026 00:00 UTC.
Appearances and settled record
latest 12Our transcript counts matched how 11 of 11 settled words resolved (100.0%). How we check.
| Date | Appearance | Text | Words | Settled | Our count agreed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 1, 2026 | Earnings call FY27 Q1 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 11 | 6 yes · 5 no | 11/11 (100%) |
| Jun 3, 2026 | Earnings call FY26 Q4 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 0 | – | – |
| Feb 17, 2026 | Earnings call FY26 Q3 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 0 | – | – |
| Nov 18, 2025 | Earnings call FY26 Q2 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 0 | – | – |
| Aug 19, 2025 | Earnings call FY26 Q1 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 0 | – | – |
| May 21, 2025 | Earnings call FY25 Q4 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 0 | – | – |
| Feb 18, 2025 | Earnings call FY25 Q3 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 0 | – | – |
| Nov 19, 2024 | Earnings call FY25 Q2 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 0 | – | – |
| Aug 20, 2024 | Earnings call FY25 Q1 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 0 | – | – |
| May 23, 2024 | Earnings call FY24 Q4 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 0 | – | – |
| Feb 20, 2024 | Earnings call FY24 Q3 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 0 | – | – |
| Dec 8, 2023 | Earnings call FY24 Q2 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 0 | – | – |
Citeparrot.markets, “Medtronic (MDT): earnings call word history”, as of Oct 23, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/MDT (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/entity/medtronic · words: /api/v1/history?entity=medtronic · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP