Donald Trump: Weekly window, Jul 5, 2026
Polymarket What will Trump say this week? (June 29 - July 5)
Coverage
10 known appearances7 of 10 known appearances transcribed Window: Jun 29, 2026 to Jul 5, 2026. Counts: spoken only (posts do not count). 0 own posts by @realDonaldTrump. Counts are lower bounds until every appearance is transcribed.
- Jun 29, 2026 Remarks on Signing a Memorandum on Lowering the Cost of Living by Promoting the Freedom To Fix and an Exchange With Reporters Official transcript
- Jul 1, 2026 Donald Trump: Burning Hills Amphitheater on July 1 transcript pending
- Jul 1, 2026 Remarks and an Exchange With Reporters at Joint Base Andrews, Maryland Official transcript
- Jul 1, 2026 Remarks on Presenting Theodore Roosevelt's Medal of Honor to the Theodore Roosevelt Presidential Library in Medora, North Dakota Official transcript
- Jul 1, 2026 Remarks at the Theodore Roosevelt Presidential Library in Medora, North Dakota Official transcript
- Jul 1, 2026 Remarks During a Tour of the Theodore Roosevelt Presidential Library in Medora, North Dakota Official transcript
- Jul 2, 2026 Donald Trump: CNBC: Fast Money no transcript source yet
- Jul 3, 2026 Remarks at Mount Rushmore in Keystone, South Dakota Official transcript
- Jul 4, 2026 Donald Trump: July 4th rally no transcript source yet
- Jul 4, 2026 Remarks at an Independence Day Celebration Official transcript
Markets
20 words · 9 settled yes · our count agreed on 9 of 9- Polymarket: named speaker only Polymarket
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
Counts marked ≥ are lower bounds: not every appearance in this window is transcribed yet, so a word may have been said more often.
| Word | Result | Our count | All speakers | Agrees | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Communist / Communism | Yes | 36 | 36 | ✓ | 47%n=47 from settlement history | – |
| Protect America / Save America | Yes | 12 | 13 | ✓ | 59%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Patriot | Yes | 9 | 9 | ✓ | 53%n=7 from settlement history | – |
| Truth | Yes | 3 | 3 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Police | Yes | 2 | 2 | ✓ | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Mount Rushmore | Yes | 2 | 2 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Pass | Yes | 2 | 2 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Goal | Yes | 1 | 1 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Roof | Yes | 1 | 1 | ✓ | 48%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Maduro | No | – | 0 | – | 59%n=62 from settlement history | – |
| Fertilizer | No | – | 0 | – | 55%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Radical Left Lunatic | No | – | 0 | – | 51%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Six Seven | No | – | 0 | – | 50%n=40 from settlement history | – |
| Beer | No | – | 0 | – | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Coach | No | – | 0 | – | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Female | No | – | 0 | – | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Grass | No | – | 0 | – | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Great Leader | No | – | 0 | – | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Outside | No | – | 0 | – | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Secret | No | – | 0 | – | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:22 UTC.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=p%3Awhat-will-trump-say-this-week-june-29-july-5-20260626175001925 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP